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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RYTM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.21: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals is a global, commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing IMCIVREE (setmelanotide) as a precision medicine for rare MC4R pathway diseases including BBS and POMC/LEPR deficiencies. IMCIVREE is approved in the US, EU/UK, and Canada; the company... Read more

$87.21+42.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#81 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.52%
Stop $81.11Target $124.38(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$138.20+58.5%15 analysts
$124.38our TP
$87.21price
$138.20mean
$159

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.21: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: IMCIVREE
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -50.1%), High leverage (D/E 6.1), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-76.7
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA-29.9
Profit Mgn-93.3%
ROE-101.2%
Rev Growth83.8%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$45-48.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductIMCIVREE
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations to date have been primarily focused on developing and commercializing IMCIVREE (setmelanotide)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-03Item 5.02LOW
    Rhythm Pharmaceuticals elected Kimberly J. Popovits to Board effective April 1, 2026; simultaneously Edward T. Mathers resigned from the Board (no disagreement cited). Routine board composition change.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
7.8

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.8
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -69% of revenueRule of 40: 14 (fail)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.8
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $79.40Resistance $99.00

Price Targets

$81
$124
A.Upside+42.6%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -50.1%), High leverage (D/E 6.1), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYTM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.21: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $81.11. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $124.38 (+42.6% upside). Prior stop was $81.11. Stop-loss: $81.11.

What are the risks of investing in RYTM?

Concentration risk — Product: IMCIVREE; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -50.1%), High leverage (D/E 6.1), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap).

Is RYTM overvalued or undervalued?

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -76.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RYTM?

22 analysts cover RYTM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $138.

What does Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Rhythm Pharmaceuticals is a global, commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing IMCIVREE (setmelanotide) as a...

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals is a global, commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing IMCIVREE (setmelanotide) as a precision medicine for rare MC4R pathway diseases including BBS and POMC/LEPR deficiencies. IMCIVREE is approved in the US, EU/UK, and Canada; the company generated ~$422.5M cumulative revenue from product sales and had 414 employees as of February 2026.

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