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RYRoyal Bank Of CanadaHold5.4·$203.02
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Royal Bank of Canada has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 8.5%, leads its diversified banking peer group in revenue growth, and carries strong net margins of 34%, but the stock has already exceeded analyst consensus targets and sits at overbought levels with falling on-balance volume.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat And Margins→Stable
  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target Overbought↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $203.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Royal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. Its Personal Banking segment offers home equity financing, personal lending, chequing and savings accounts, private banking, auto financing, mutual funds, GICs, credit cards, and payment products... Read more

$203.02-11.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.47%(5y avg 3.33%)Payout41.49%sustainable
Stop $197.44Analyst target $180.25(reached)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst consensus$212.05+4.4%3 analysts
$203.02price
$212.05mean
$185
$233

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $203.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.7
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$281.1B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.91
Dividend2.47%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV35%normal
Max Pain$260+28.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $187.55Resistance $203.77

Price Targets

A.Upside-11.2%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $203.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $180.25 reached (−11.2%), stop $197.44 (−2.8%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RY stock price target?

Analyst target $180.25 reached (−11.2% from $203.02); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $180.25 reached (−11.2%), stop $197.44 (−2.8%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $197.44.

What are the risks of investing in RY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Overbought (RSI 81).

Is RY overvalued or undervalued?

Royal Bank Of Canada trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RY?

23 analysts cover RY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $212.

What does Royal Bank Of Canada do?Royal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. Its Personal Banking segment offers...

Royal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. Its Personal Banking segment offers home equity financing, personal lending, chequing and savings accounts, private banking, auto financing, mutual funds, GICs, credit cards, and payment products and solutions. The company's Commercial Banking segments provides lending, deposit and transaction banking products and services. Its Wealth Management segment provides a suite of wealth, investment, trust, banking, credit, and other solutions to clients; asset management products to institutional and individual clients; and asset and investor services to financial institutions, asset managers, and asset owners. The company's Insurance segment offers life, health, travel, wealth, annuities, property and casualty, and reinsurance advice and solutions; digital platforms; and independent brokers and partners, as well as client-led advice and solutions. The company's Capital Markets segment offers advisory and origination, sales and trading, lending and financing, and transaction banking services to corporations, institutional clients, asset managers, private equity firms, and governments. The company was founded in 1864 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · HSBC (HSBC Holdings, plc.) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · UBS (UBS Group AG Registered)
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