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RYRoyal Bank Of CanadaBuy Wait5.9·$204.23-0.15%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Royal Bank of Canada has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 8.5%, leads its diversified banking peer group in revenue growth, and carries strong net margins of 34%, but the stock has already exceeded analyst consensus targets and sits at overbought levels with falling on-balance volume.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat And MarginsStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Price Above Analyst Target OverboughtImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Wait for pullback to $199.00. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $204.23. Engine's entry $199.00 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Royal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. Its Personal Banking segment offers home equity financing, personal lending, chequing and savings accounts, private banking, auto financing, mutual funds, GICs, credit cards, and payment products... Read more

$204.23-14.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.46%(5y avg 3.54%)Payout41.35%sustainable
Entry $199.00(support + ATR (held))Stop $191.65Target $213.75(resistance)A.R:R -2.9:1
Analyst target$205.87+0.8%3 analysts
$213.75our TP
$204.23price
$205.87mean
$170
$226

Wait for pullback to $199.00. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $204.23. Engine's entry $199.00 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$283.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.7%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth16.1%
Beta0.93
Dividend2.46%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV36%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $200.85Resistance $218.11

Price Targets

$192
$199
$214
A.Upside-14.3%
A.R:R-2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)
! News modifier +2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $199.00. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $204.23. Engine's entry $199.00 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $213.75 (+4.7%), stop $191.65 (−6.6%), A.R:R -2.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $213.75 (-14.3% upside). Target $213.75 (+4.7%), stop $191.65 (−6.6%), A.R:R -2.9:1. Stop-loss: $191.65.

What are the risks of investing in RY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RY overvalued or undervalued?

Royal Bank Of Canada trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RY?

23 analysts cover RY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $206.

What does Royal Bank Of Canada do?Royal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. Its Personal Banking segment offers...

Royal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. Its Personal Banking segment offers home equity financing, personal lending, chequing and savings accounts, private banking, auto financing, mutual funds, GICs, credit cards, and payment products and solutions. The company's Commercial Banking segments provides lending, deposit and transaction banking products and services. Its Wealth Management segment provides a suite of wealth, investment, trust, banking, credit, and other solutions to clients; asset management products to institutional and individual clients; and asset and investor services to financial institutions, asset managers, and asset owners. The company's Insurance segment offers life, health, travel, wealth, annuities, property and casualty, and reinsurance advice and solutions; digital platforms; and independent brokers and partners, as well as client-led advice and solutions. The company's Capital Markets segment offers advisory and origination, sales and trading, lending and financing, and transaction banking services to corporations, institutional clients, asset managers, private equity firms, and governments. The company was founded in 1864 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · JPM (JP Morgan Chase & Co.) · BCS (Barclays PLC) · C (Citigroup, Inc.)
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