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RLIRLI Corp.Hold5.0·$52.25+0.27%
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RLI Corp. (RLI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance company underwriting select property (31%), casualty (60%), and surety (9%) products in admitted and excess-and-surplus markets, distributed through brokers and agents nationwide. Net premiums earned were $1.614B in 2025; no foreign operations;... Read more

$52.25-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#23 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.69%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout14.92%sustainable
Stop $49.51Target $52.19(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$57.75+10.5%4 analysts
$52.19our TP
$52.25price
$57.75mean
$67

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn20.8%
ROE23.2%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.36
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV155%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
4.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
7.8
Best-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.27Resistance $53.25

Price Targets

$50
$52
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $52.19 (-0.1%), stop $49.51 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.19 (-0.1% upside). Target $52.19 (-0.1%), stop $49.51 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $49.51.

What are the risks of investing in RLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RLI overvalued or undervalued?

RLI Corp. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RLI?

13 analysts cover RLI with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $58.

What does RLI Corp. do?RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance company underwriting select property (31%), casualty (60%), and surety (9%) products...

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance company underwriting select property (31%), casualty (60%), and surety (9%) products in admitted and excess-and-surplus markets, distributed through brokers and agents nationwide. Net premiums earned were $1.614B in 2025; no foreign operations; rated A+ by AM Best.

Related stocks: SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.) · PLMR (Palomar Holdings, Inc.) · ORI (Old Republic International Corp) · STC (Stewart Information Services Co) · MCY (Mercury General Corporation)
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