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RLAYRelay Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.1·$15.05+0.60%
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Relay Therapeutics, Inc. (RLAY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.05: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.05; Below-average business quality.

Relay Therapeutics develops small molecule precision medicines for cancer and genetic disease using its Dynamo® platform for motion-based drug discovery, with no approved products and no commercial revenue. The lead candidate, zovegalisib (RLY-2608), an allosteric PI3Kα... Read more

$15.05+43.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#105 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-3.72%
Stop $14.00Target $21.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$24.82+64.9%11 analysts
$21.59our TP
$15.05price
$24.82mean
$32

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.05: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.05; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Relay Therapeutics, Inc.

About Relay Therapeutics, Inc.

Relay Therapeutics advanced zovegalisib into the Phase 3 ReDiscover-2 Trial in Q2 2025, targeting PI3Kα-mutated HR+/HER2- breast cancer patients previously treated with a CDK4/6 inhibitor, with 540 patients randomized against capivasertib plus fulvestrant. The estimated addressable population totals approximately 140,000 patients annually in the U.S. In February 2026, the FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to the zovegalisib-plus-fulvestrant combination, a regulatory milestone that provides more intensive FDA guidance and review.

Relay generates no commercial revenue; the company funds operations through capital markets and its balance sheet. Zovegalisib is the sole compound in late-stage development; two earlier-stage candidates — NRAS inhibitor RLY-8161 and a non-inhibitory chaperone for Fabry disease — remain in preclinical or early clinical stages. The Dynamo platform uses cryo-EM structures and long-timescale molecular dynamics simulations to identify allosteric pockets in target proteins, differentiating its approach from orthosteric PI3Kα inhibitors such as alpelisib and capivasertib, which carry high rates of severe hyperglycemia. In June 2024, Relay entered a global clinical trial collaboration with Pfizer to evaluate zovegalisib in combination with fulvestrant and atirmociclib — Pfizer's selective-CDK4 inhibitor — in PI3Kα-mutated metastatic breast cancer. In December 2024, the company licensed lirafugratinib (RLY-4008) to Elevar Therapeutics under an exclusive global agreement, removing the FGFR2 inhibitor from the company's P&L while preserving the zovegalisib franchise.

Show full overview

Pipeline binary risk dominates Relay's investment profile. The Phase 3 ReDiscover-2 Trial is enrolling 540 patients with no primary endpoint data expected until the study matures. Interim data from the Phase 1/2 ReDiscover Trial as of October 15, 2025 showed a 39% objective response rate and 10.3-month median PFS in the key efficacy subset, but these are Phase 1/2 results; the Phase 3 comparator (capivasertib plus fulvestrant) is an approved regimen. If ReDiscover-2 fails to demonstrate superiority, the company's entire commercial pipeline could be at risk.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Relay Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: zovegalisib (RLY-2608)
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9.1
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA-7.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-40.0%
Rev Growth-60.9%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C2.05bearish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$18+19.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinezovegalisib (RLY-2608)
    10-K Item 1: 'zovegalisib (RLY-2608), our lead product candidate ... we initiated a global Phase 3 registrational study, or the ReDiscover-2 Trial'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -1135% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 7.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.1
Short Interest
1.7
Days To Cover
2.0
Beta
4.2
Max Pain Risk
7.0
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 2.05High IV: 101%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.62Resistance $17.47

Price Targets

$14
$22
A.Upside+43.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLAY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.05: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.05; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.00. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.59 (+43.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.00. Stop-loss: $14.00.

What are the risks of investing in RLAY?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: zovegalisib (RLY-2608); Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is RLAY overvalued or undervalued?

Relay Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RLAY?

19 analysts cover RLAY with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Relay Therapeutics, Inc. do?Relay Therapeutics develops small molecule precision medicines for cancer and genetic disease using its Dynamo®...

Relay Therapeutics develops small molecule precision medicines for cancer and genetic disease using its Dynamo® platform for motion-based drug discovery, with no approved products and no commercial revenue. The lead candidate, zovegalisib (RLY-2608), an allosteric PI3Kα inhibitor, entered a Phase 3 trial in Q2 2025 for HR+/HER2- breast cancer and received FDA Breakthrough Therapy designation in February 2026.

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