Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the RIOT stock price target?

Take-profit $22.99 (+37.0% upside). Prior stop was $15.61.

Q: What are the risks of investing in RIOT?

Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin; Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0); Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is RIOT overvalued or undervalued?

Riot Platforms, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about RIOT?

25 analysts cover RIOT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $26.

Range Bound setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.79: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

$16.79+37.0% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#39 of 40 Capital Markets

Stop $15.61Target $22.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1

Analyst target$25.55+52.2%19 analysts

$22.99our TP

$16.79price

$25.55mean

$13

$42

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-26.0

Mkt Cap$6.1B

EV/EBITDA-39.6

Profit Mgn-102.4%

ROE-22.1%

Rev Growth7.2%

Beta3.57

DividendNone

Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish

IV103%elevated

Max Pain$1-94.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCommoditybitcoin
10-K Item 1A: 'Our ability to achieve profitability is largely dependent on the price of bitcoin, which has historically been volatile'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.015%1.05

Quality2.415%0.36

Growth4.315%0.64

Momentum2.710%0.27

Sentiment7.910%0.79

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank1.010%0.10

Technical Setup4.35%0.21

Risk Profile3.65%0.18

Catalyst6.35%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)4.43

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.5

Growth Rank

1.6

Value Rank

1.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -102.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Gross Margin

3.6

Current Ratio

3.8

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

Cash-burning: FCF -40% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Macd

0.9

Obv

1.0

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

51 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.75Resistance $19.07

Price Targets

$16

$23

A.Upside+36.9%

A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RIOT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.79: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.61. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RIOT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.99 (+37.0% upside). Prior stop was $15.61. Stop-loss: $15.61.

What are the risks of investing in RIOT?

Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin; Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is RIOT overvalued or undervalued?

Riot Platforms, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RIOT?

25 analysts cover RIOT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Riot Platforms, Inc. do?Riot Platforms is a vertically integrated Bitcoin miner with 38.5 EH/s deployed hash rate across facilities in...

Riot Platforms is a vertically integrated Bitcoin miner with 38.5 EH/s deployed hash rate across facilities in Rockdale, TX (700 MW), Corsicana, TX (~400 MW, targeting 1 GW), and Kentucky (~137 MW); it mined 5,686 bitcoin in 2025. Revenue comes from Bitcoin mining rewards plus its Engineering segment (electrical power distribution equipment for industrial/data center customers); in January 2026, Riot signed the AMD Lease (10 years, initial 25 MW) for data center operations at Rockdale.