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Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Concentration risk — Commodity: digital assets.

Galaxy Digital is a financial services and infrastructure company with two segments: Digital Assets (OTC trading, lending, asset management with $12.3B in platform assets) and Data Centers (HPC infrastructure at the Helios campus in West Texas leased to CoreWeave). Revenue is... Read more

$26.45+31.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#29 of 40 Capital Markets
Stop $24.65Target $34.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$39.97+51.1%14 analysts
$34.78our TP
$26.45price
$39.97mean
$55

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Concentration risk — Commodity: digital assets. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: digital assets
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)146.2
Mkt Cap$9.9B
EV/EBITDA0.2
Profit Mgn-0.4%
ROE-9.2%
Rev Growth-37.5%
Beta3.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV93%elevated
Max Pain$11-58.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditydigital assets
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our leading sources of revenue are dependent on digital assets and the broader cryptoeconomy'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
1.5
Bollinger
2.6
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
1.8
Value Rank
8.7
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.43Resistance $27.12

Price Targets

$25
$35
A.Upside+31.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLXY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Concentration risk — Commodity: digital assets. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $24.65. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLXY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.78 (+31.2% upside). Prior stop was $24.65. Stop-loss: $24.65.

What are the risks of investing in GLXY?

Concentration risk — Commodity: digital assets; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GLXY overvalued or undervalued?

Galaxy Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 146.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLXY?

19 analysts cover GLXY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Galaxy Digital Inc. do?Galaxy Digital is a financial services and infrastructure company with two segments: Digital Assets (OTC trading,...

Galaxy Digital is a financial services and infrastructure company with two segments: Digital Assets (OTC trading, lending, asset management with $12.3B in platform assets) and Data Centers (HPC infrastructure at the Helios campus in West Texas leased to CoreWeave). Revenue is highly dependent on digital asset prices and transaction volumes; the company reported a net loss of $241M for 2025.

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