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GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.Sell6.4·$13.97
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Galaxy Digital shows powerful price momentum with a golden cross and rising volume accumulation, but a 21% revenue decline, a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.7, and a concentrated customer relationship in CoreWeave leave the fundamental case fragile beneath the technical breakout.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Momentum Breakout↓Deteriorating
  • Revenue Decline Customer Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Leverage Constrains Flexibility↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.97: Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 8.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.68; Below long-term trend.

Galaxy Digital provides financial services and data center infrastructure focused on digital assets, operating two segments: Digital Assets (trading, asset management, staking) and Data Centers (Helios HPC campus in West Texas). The company had approximately $12.3 billion in... Read more

$13.97+129.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#12 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $13.30Analyst target $32.09(−10% haircut)A.R:R 8.7:1
Analyst consensus$35.66+155.2%16 analysts with price targets
$32.09Analyst target
$13.97price
$35.66mean
$57

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.97: Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 8.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.68; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: CoreWeave
Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)343.8
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA0.2
Profit Mgn-1.2%
ROE-14.9%
Rev Growth-70.3%
Beta3.58
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.68bearish
IV125%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCoreWeave
    10-K Item 1: 'We have entered into lease agreements with CoreWeave for data center capacity at our Helios campus'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 13.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Short Interest
1.4
Debt Equity
1.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
4.2
News Risk
6.0
High short interest justified: 21%Elevated put/call: 2.68High IV: 125%Above max pain $1Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
8.6
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 8.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.71Resistance $21.10

Price Targets

$13
$32
A.Upside+129.7%
A.R:R8.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLXY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.97: Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 8.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.68; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.30. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLXY stock price target?

Analyst target: $32.09 (+129.7% upside). Prior stop was $13.30. Stop-loss: $13.30.

What are the risks of investing in GLXY?

Concentration risk — Customer: CoreWeave; Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0).

Is GLXY overvalued or undervalued?

Galaxy Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 343.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLXY?

19 analysts rate GLXY, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $36.

What does Galaxy Digital Inc. do?Galaxy Digital provides financial services and data center infrastructure focused on digital assets, operating two...

Galaxy Digital provides financial services and data center infrastructure focused on digital assets, operating two segments: Digital Assets (trading, asset management, staking) and Data Centers (Helios HPC campus in West Texas). The company had approximately $12.3 billion in assets across its platform at December 31, 2025, with over 1,600 trading counterparties; it reported a net loss of $241 million in 2025 versus net income of $347 million in 2024.

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