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ADIGADI Global Distribution Inc.Sell5.6·$15.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ADI Global trades at a low forward P/E of 9.1x with institutions accumulating, but quality sits below the engine's floor and momentum is deeply negative.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor↑Improving
  • Negative Price Momentum↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.70: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States and internationally. It sells video surveillance, power, automation, access control, AV, fire, intrusion, smart living, communications, and datacom and... Read more

$15.70+46.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#13 of 25 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $14.60Target $22.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$26.40+68.2%5 analysts
$22.97our TP
$15.70price
$26.40mean
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.70: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn0.9%
ROE—
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.3
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Obv
4.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.4
Net Margin
0.4
Operating Margin
0.9
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
9.4
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5INSIDER 0.20%=MODERATEA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $15.00Resistance $21.54

Price Targets

$15
$23
A.Upside+46.3%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.70: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.60. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.97 (+46.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.60. Stop-loss: $14.60.

What are the risks of investing in ADIG?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is ADIG overvalued or undervalued?

ADI Global Distribution Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ADIG?

10 analysts cover ADIG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $26.

What does ADI Global Distribution Inc. do?ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States...

ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States and internationally. It sells video surveillance, power, automation, access control, AV, fire, intrusion, smart living, communications, and datacom and networking products. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Melville, New York.

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