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ADIGADI Global Distribution Inc.Sell5.5·$19.55
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ADI Global Distribution screens as inexpensive on earnings-based multiples with a very low PEG ratio, though the underlying business shows weak margin quality and no identified competitive moat. Insider activity is mixed, with institutional accumulation alongside a net insider share sale, and analyst sentiment is only lightly covered.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Earnings Multiple Valuation→Stable
  • Weak Margin No Moat Quality→Stable
  • Mixed Institutional Insider Signal→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.55: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States and internationally. It sells video surveillance, power, automation, access control, AV, fire, intrusion, smart living, communications, and datacom and... Read more

$19.55+23.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 22 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $18.94Target $24.22(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$28.50+45.8%4 analysts
$24.22our TP
$19.55price
$28.50mean
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.55: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn0.9%
ROE—
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV125%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
3.5
Macd
3.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
6.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.4
Net Margin
0.4
Operating Margin
0.9
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
9.4
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $19.53Resistance $22.65

Price Targets

$19
$24
A.Upside+23.9%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ADIG.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.55: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.94. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.22 (+23.9% upside). Prior stop was $18.94. Stop-loss: $18.94.

What are the risks of investing in ADIG?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is ADIG overvalued or undervalued?

ADI Global Distribution Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ADIG?

10 analysts cover ADIG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $29.

What does ADI Global Distribution Inc. do?ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States...

ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States and internationally. It sells video surveillance, power, automation, access control, AV, fire, intrusion, smart living, communications, and datacom and networking products. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Melville, New York. ADI Global Distribution Inc. is a former subsidiary of Resideo Technologies, Inc.

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