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Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. At $35.65, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties.

Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning 419 properties (~51.2M sqft) with a diversified tenant base of 1,558 leases where no single tenant exceeds 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Revenue comes... Read more

$35.65+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 15 REIT - Industrial
Stop $33.72Target $35.94(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$39.94+12.0%16 analysts
$35.94our TP
$35.65price
$39.94mean
$45

Sell if holding. At $35.65, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.8
P/E (Fwd)38.1
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth-2.9%
Beta1.28
Dividend4.87%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our properties are located in Southern California, which may expose us to greater or lesser economic risks than if we owned a more geographically-diverse portfolio'
  • HIGHPropertyindustrial properties
    10-K Item 1: 'We are a self-administered and self-managed full-service REIT focused on owning, operating and acquiring industrial properties in Southern California infill markets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    John Nahas (age 43) appointed Chief Operating Officer effective April 1, 2026, in conjunction with Laura Clark's appointment to CEO. Nahas joined Rexford in January 2023 and served as Managing Director of Operations and Asset Management since July 2023.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
3.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.8
Ma Position
6.5
Macd
7.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.35Resistance $37.55

Price Targets

$34
$36
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.9% upside)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $35.65, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $33.72. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.94 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $33.72. Stop-loss: $33.72.

What are the risks of investing in REXR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is REXR overvalued or undervalued?

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.8 (forward 38.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REXR?

24 analysts cover REXR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. do?Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning...

Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning 419 properties (~51.2M sqft) with a diversified tenant base of 1,558 leases where no single tenant exceeds 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Revenue comes from industrial operating leases; the portfolio is geographically concentrated within Southern California: Los Angeles 57.3%, San Bernardino 18.7%, Orange County 10.9%, San Diego 6.8%, Ventura 6.3%.

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