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REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.Sell5.1·$34.89-0.57%
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Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. At $34.89, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties.

Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning 419 properties (~51.2M sqft) with a diversified tenant base of 1,558 leases where no single tenant exceeds 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Revenue comes... Read more

$34.89+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.63%
IncomeYield4.93%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout183.51%
Stop $33.50Target $35.49(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$39.44+13.0%16 analysts
$35.49our TP
$34.89price
$39.44mean
$44

Sell if holding. At $34.89, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.

About Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.

Rexford Industrial Realty owns 419 industrial properties totaling approximately 51.2 million rentable square feet, all located in Southern California infill submarkets, with Los Angeles representing 57.3% of rentable square footage, San Bernardino 18.7%, Orange County 10.9%, San Diego 6.8%, and Ventura 6.3%. The portfolio was leased to 1,558 tenants at December 31, 2025, with no single tenant accounting for more than 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Net debt to total market capitalization stood at 24.9% at year-end, and the company repurchased $250 million of common stock during 2025.

Rexford earns revenue through industrial property leases structured primarily on a triple net or modified gross basis, with most leases providing fixed annual rent increases of 3% or greater. The portfolio tenant mix at December 31, 2025 included Manufacturing (22.5% of annualized base rent), Wholesale Trade (21.7%), and Transportation and Warehousing (21.6%). External growth depends on off-market and lightly marketed acquisitions — roughly 77% of acquisitions by property count since the IPO were completed outside formal marketing processes. A $1.25 billion unsecured revolving credit facility, with $1.245 billion available at the filing date, provides acquisition liquidity. The company's value-add repositioning strategy targets conversion of single-tenant properties to multi-tenant use and functional upgrades to increase per-square-foot rents. An at-the-market equity program authorized up to $1.25 billion in common stock sales, with $927.4 million of capacity remaining as of the filing date.

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The exclusive Southern California footprint exposes Rexford to regional economic cycles, seismic risk, and California-specific regulatory complexity. The 10-K notes the State of California is "more highly regulated and taxed than many other states," and Measure ULA — passed in November 2022 — imposes a 4% to 5.5% additional fee at sale on properties in the City of Los Angeles, which represented approximately 12% of portfolio rentable square footage. Additional California ballot measures have targeted Proposition 13 property tax protections; if successful, those could cause a significant increase in property taxes across the portfolio. A material reduction in imports at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, whether from tariffs or labor disruption, could reduce tenant demand for warehouse and distribution space and push market vacancy higher.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

From Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)37.1
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth-2.9%
Beta1.22
Dividend4.93%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our properties are located in Southern California, which may expose us to greater or lesser economic risks than if we owned a more geographically-diverse portfolio'
  • HIGHPropertyindustrial properties
    10-K Item 1: 'We are a self-administered and self-managed full-service REIT focused on owning, operating and acquiring industrial properties in Southern California infill markets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    John Nahas (age 43) appointed Chief Operating Officer effective April 1, 2026, in conjunction with Laura Clark's appointment to CEO. Nahas joined Rexford in January 2023 and served as Managing Director of Operations and Asset Management since July 2023.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.1
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.60Resistance $36.71

Price Targets

$34
$35
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.89, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $33.50. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.49 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $33.50. Stop-loss: $33.50.

What are the risks of investing in REXR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is REXR overvalued or undervalued?

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 37.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REXR?

24 analysts cover REXR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. do?Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning...

Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning 419 properties (~51.2M sqft) with a diversified tenant base of 1,558 leases where no single tenant exceeds 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Revenue comes from industrial operating leases; the portfolio is geographically concentrated within Southern California: Los Angeles 57.3%, San Bernardino 18.7%, Orange County 10.9%, San Diego 6.8%, Ventura 6.3%.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · PSA (Public Storage)
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