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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RPC Inc. is an oil-field services company with 37% revenue growth and a high Piotroski F-Score of 7, but it has a quality score of 3.0 — below the minimum floor — carries a 27% short interest, generates sharply negative free cash flow of negative 71% relative to net income, and has already exceeded analyst price targets, leaving no constructive entry case.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum Threshold→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red Flag→Stable
  • Extreme Short Interest Overvaluation→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RPC, Inc. (RES) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.98: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

RPC provides oilfield services to oil and gas companies primarily in the U.S., organized into Technical Services (94.4% of 2025 revenues of $1.63 billion) and Support Services (5.6%), with key service lines including pressure pumping (29.8%), downhole tools (24.2%), and wireline... Read more

$5.98-9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#29 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.71%
IncomeYield2.68%(5y avg 1.28%)Payout145.45%at-risk
Stop $5.56Analyst target $5.39(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$6.20+3.7%5 analysts with price targets
$5.98price
$6.20mean
$5
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.98: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 1, 2026

Recent Developments — RPC, Inc.

Latest news

Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 2, 202789d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-9.8% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn-1.8%
ROE-3.0%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta0.78
Dividend2.68%
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerprivate E&P company15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'One of our customers, a private E&P company, accounted for approximately 15% of the Company's revenues in 2025 and 13% of the Company's revenues in 2024.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOW
    Gary Kolstad, previously appointed to the Board in July 2025, was reelected at the 2026 Annual Meeting and subsequently appointed Chairman of the Human Capital Management and Compensation Committee and member of the Audit Committee. Routine committee assignment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
3.5
Volume
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.7
Roa
1.7
Operating Margin
2.1
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
8.9
Current Ratio
9.5
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.61Resistance $6.81

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-02 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.98: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.56. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RES stock price target?

Analyst target $5.39 reached (−9.8% from $5.98); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $5.56. Stop-loss: $5.56.

What are the risks of investing in RES?

Target reached (-9.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is RES overvalued or undervalued?

RPC, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RES?

12 analysts rate RES, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $6.

What does RPC, Inc. do?RPC provides oilfield services to oil and gas companies primarily in the U.S., organized into Technical Services (94.4%...

RPC provides oilfield services to oil and gas companies primarily in the U.S., organized into Technical Services (94.4% of 2025 revenues of $1.63 billion) and Support Services (5.6%), with key service lines including pressure pumping (29.8%), downhole tools (24.2%), and wireline (19.4%). Revenue is generated through equipment, personnel, and materials provided directly at the well site, as well as rental equipment and pipe services off-site.

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