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RDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories LtdSell4.2·$14.64+1.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories faces a deteriorating fundamental picture with declining revenue of 12% year-over-year, two consecutive earnings misses, a death cross blocking entry, and the stock already priced above analyst targets — making the current setup one of the weakest risk-reward profiles in the healthcare sector despite reasonable absolute valuation multiples.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline And Miss PatternStable
  • Death Cross And Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Extreme Put Call RatioStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd (RDY) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.64 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated pharmaceutical company North America, Europe, India, Russia, and internationally. The company operates through Global Generics, Pharmaceutical Services and Active Ingredients (PSAI), and... Read more

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.59%
IncomeYield0.58%(5y avg 0.72%)Payout15.60%sustainable
Stop $13.73Target $15.36(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$14.15-3.4%5 analysts
$15.36our TP
$14.64price
$14.15mean
$11
$17

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.64 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.2/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.1
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$12.0B
EV/EBITDA0.9
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth-11.6%
Beta0.26
Dividend0.58%
Rating analysts44

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$3-82.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -11.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
6.6
Quality Rank
7.1
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.08Resistance $15.67

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.5% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RDY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.64 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $13.73. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RDY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.36 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $13.73. Stop-loss: $13.73.

What are the risks of investing in RDY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.2/10.

Is RDY overvalued or undervalued?

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RDY?

44 analysts cover RDY with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd do?Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated pharmaceutical company...

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated pharmaceutical company North America, Europe, India, Russia, and internationally. The company operates through Global Generics, Pharmaceutical Services and Active Ingredients (PSAI), and Others segment. Its Global Generics segment manufactures and markets prescription and over-the-counter finished pharmaceutical products that are marketed under a brand name or as a generic finished dosages with therapeutic equivalence to branded formulations, as well as engages in the biologics business. The PSAI segment manufactures and markets active pharmaceutical ingredients and intermediates, which are principal ingredients for finished pharmaceutical products. This segment also provides contract research services; and manufactures and sells active pharmaceutical ingredients and steroids with the customer requirements. Its Others segment engages in developing therapies in the fields of oncology and inflammation; and research, development, and commercialization of differentiated formulations. The company offers its products for various therapeutic categories, including gastro-intestinal, cardiovascular, anti-diabetic, dermatology, oncology, respiratory, stomatology, urology, and nephrology, vaccines, vitamins and minerals, and pain management. Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

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