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RAPPRapport Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.3·$25.93
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rapport Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech with strong analyst conviction at a price target implying 49% upside and a 3-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 9.9% positive surprise, but the company burns cash at -247% of revenue, carries a quality score of 1.9 out of 10, and an extremely elevated put/call ratio of 4.36 signals heavy bearish options activity.

Thesis pillars

  • High Analyst Conviction Upside↑Improving
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio↓Deteriorating
  • Cash Burn Quality Floor Breach↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 10, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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Rapport Therapeutics, Inc. (RAPP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.93: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 8.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 58.35; Below-average business quality.

Rapport Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing precision neuroscience medicines using its RAP technology platform, which targets receptor-associated proteins to achieve neuroanatomical specificity. Its lead candidate, RAP-219, an AMPA receptor modulator in-licensed... Read more

$25.93+129.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#124 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-3.74%
Stop $24.11Analyst target $59.41(−13% haircut)A.R:R 8.6:1
Analyst consensus$68.29+163.3%14 analysts with price targets
$59.41Analyst target
$25.93price
$68.29mean
$91

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.93: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 8.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 58.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.

About Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.

Rapport Therapeutics' lead candidate, RAP-219, met its primary and secondary endpoints in a Phase 2a proof-of-concept trial reported in September 2025, showing a statistically significant reduction in both an objective seizure biomarker and clinical seizures in adults with drug-resistant focal onset seizures. Following supportive FDA feedback from an end-of-Phase-2 meeting in December 2025, the company expects to begin two Phase 3 trials of RAP-219 in the second quarter of 2026, targeting a $2.8 billion epilepsy market that is expected to grow to $3.6 billion by 2028.

Rapport has no approved products and generates no revenue; nearly all of its pipeline, including RAP-219 and its nicotinic acetylcholine receptor programs, was originally developed at Janssen Pharmaceutical and in-licensed under an August 2022 agreement that obligates Rapport to pay Janssen up to $76.0 million in development milestones and up to $40.0 million in sales milestones for RAP-219 products. Beyond RAP-219's focal-onset-seizure indication, the company is testing the same molecule in a Phase 2 proof-of-concept trial for bipolar mania, with topline data expected in the first half of 2027, and is developing a long-acting injectable formulation intended to improve adherence across all RAP-219 indications. Two earlier-stage discovery programs, RAP-641 for chronic pain and migraine and a program targeting the α9α10 receptor for hearing and vestibular disorders, round out the pipeline built on Rapport's receptor-associated-protein platform. Rapport reported net losses of $111.5 million in 2025 and $78.3 million in 2024.

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Rapport's own risk factors state that its business is highly dependent on the success of its product candidates, particularly RAP-219 for focal onset seizures — a concentration sharpened by the fact that RAP-219 also carries the company's bipolar mania and planned PGTCS programs on the same molecule. A setback in the upcoming Phase 3 FOS trials, expected to start in the second quarter of 2026, would therefore not be contained to one indication: it would simultaneously cloud the bipolar mania readout expected in the first half of 2027 and the planned PGTCS Phase 3 start in the first half of 2027, since all three rely on the same TARP8-targeting mechanism.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: RAP-219
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-5.1
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-5.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-40.0%
Rev Growth—
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C58.35bearish
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineRAP-219
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business is highly dependent on the success of our product candidates, particularly RAP-219 for FOS.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -280% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 8.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.06Resistance $31.31

Price Targets

$24
$59
A.Upside+129.1%
A.R:R8.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RAPP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.93: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 8.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 58.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $24.11. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RAPP stock price target?

Analyst target: $59.41 (+129.1% upside). Prior stop was $24.11. Stop-loss: $24.11.

What are the risks of investing in RAPP?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: RAP-219; Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow.

Is RAPP overvalued or undervalued?

Rapport Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RAPP?

22 analysts rate RAPP, with a consensus score of 4.4/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $68.

What does Rapport Therapeutics, Inc. do?Rapport Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing precision neuroscience medicines using its RAP technology...

Rapport Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing precision neuroscience medicines using its RAP technology platform, which targets receptor-associated proteins to achieve neuroanatomical specificity. Its lead candidate, RAP-219, an AMPA receptor modulator in-licensed from Janssen, showed statistically significant seizure reduction in a Phase 2a trial for drug-resistant focal onset seizures reported in September 2025, with Phase 3 trials expected to begin in the second quarter of 2026.

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