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QLYSQualys, Inc.Sell5.3·$114.25+2.71%
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Qualys, Inc. (QLYS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $114.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%).

Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and SMBs worldwide, with over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue is generated through annual SaaS subscriptions priced on data... Read more

$114.25-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#56 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.06%
Stop $106.32Target $114.18(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$107.39-6.0%19 analysts
$114.18our TP
$114.25price
$107.39mean
$85
$161

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $114.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Qualys, Inc.

About Qualys, Inc.

Qualys reported $669.1 million in revenue in 2025 — up from $607.6 million in 2024 and $554.5 million in 2023 — serving more than 10,000 customers worldwide including a majority of the Forbes Global 100, delivered via 15 global shared cloud deployments. The United States accounted for 56% of 2025 revenues based on billing addresses, down from 58% in 2024 and 60% in 2023. No individual customer represented more than 10% of revenues in any of those three years.

Qualys sells annual subscriptions to 20+ Cloud Apps through direct field sales (targeting enterprises with 5,000+ employees) and inside sales (targeting SMBs), with channel partners — including managed security service providers, value-added resellers, and consulting firms — generating a substantial portion of total revenues. Customers are invoiced for the full subscription at term start with revenue recognized ratably, creating a deferred revenue balance visible in reported results. The platform's 15 shared cloud deployments support globally distributed environments across on-premises, endpoints, cloud, containers, and mobile. Qualys competes with point-tool vendors that require customers to integrate disparate products from multiple security vendors; the company's Enterprise TruRisk Platform ingests telemetry from more than 25 threat intelligence feeds and includes 20,000 pre-built controls across more than 90 regulatory frameworks including PCI DSS, HIPAA, SOX, and NIST.

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Qualys' switching cost is embedded in its unified data architecture: all Cloud Apps share the same scanner, agent, collected data, and user permissions, so organizations subscribing to multiple apps build compliance and vulnerability history within a single dataset. The 10-K notes customers typically deploy one or two solutions initially, with existing accounts serving as 'a strong source of new sales as they expand their scope and increase their subscriptions' — an expansion dynamic that increases exit friction with each additional Cloud App deployed.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Qualys, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE37.7%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$200+75.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States56%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 2024 and 2023, 56%, 58% and 60%, respectively, of our revenues were derived from customers in the United States based on our customers' billing addresses.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
4.7
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.49Resistance $116.51

Price Targets

$106
$114
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QLYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $114.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $106.32. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the QLYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $114.18 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $106.32. Stop-loss: $106.32.

What are the risks of investing in QLYS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5.

Is QLYS overvalued or undervalued?

Qualys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QLYS?

30 analysts cover QLYS with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Qualys, Inc. do?Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and...

Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and SMBs worldwide, with over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue is generated through annual SaaS subscriptions priced on data volume; revenues grew to $669.1M in 2025 from $607.6M in 2024. No single customer accounts for more than 10% of revenues.

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