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Qualys, Inc. (QLYS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%).

Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and SMBs worldwide, with over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue is generated through annual SaaS subscriptions priced on data... Read more

$100.09-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#45 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.88%
Stop $93.08Target $99.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$107.39+7.3%19 analysts
$99.74our TP
$100.09price
$107.39mean
$85
$161

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Qualys, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.6
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE37.7%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States56%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 2024 and 2023, 56%, 58% and 60%, respectively, of our revenues were derived from customers in the United States based on our customers' billing addresses.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
2.9
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.07Resistance $101.78

Price Targets

$93
$100
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QLYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $93.08. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the QLYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.74 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $93.08. Stop-loss: $93.08.

What are the risks of investing in QLYS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is QLYS overvalued or undervalued?

Qualys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QLYS?

30 analysts cover QLYS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Qualys, Inc. do?Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and...

Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and SMBs worldwide, with over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue is generated through annual SaaS subscriptions priced on data volume; revenues grew to $669.1M in 2025 from $607.6M in 2024. No single customer accounts for more than 10% of revenues.

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