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Qualys, Inc. (QLYS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.20: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Qualys provides cloud-based IT, security, and compliance solutions via its Enterprise TruRisk Platform, serving 10,000+ customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue was $669.1M in 2025 from renewable annual subscriptions for vulnerability management, patch... Read more

$86.20+28.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#30 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $80.61Target $111.71(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$124.12+44.0%19 analysts
$111.71our TP
$86.20price
$124.12mean
$170

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.20: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn29.6%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$50-42.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerthird-party channel partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on third-party channel partners to generate a substantial amount of our revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.2
Support Resistance
3.0
Bollinger
3.8
Gap
6.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.5>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.51Resistance $92.02

Price Targets

$81
$112
A.Upside+29.6%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QLYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.20: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $80.61. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QLYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.71 (+28.9% upside). Prior stop was $80.61. Stop-loss: $80.61.

What are the risks of investing in QLYS?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Is QLYS overvalued or undervalued?

Qualys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QLYS?

30 analysts cover QLYS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $124.

What does Qualys, Inc. do?Qualys provides cloud-based IT, security, and compliance solutions via its Enterprise TruRisk Platform, serving 10,000+...

Qualys provides cloud-based IT, security, and compliance solutions via its Enterprise TruRisk Platform, serving 10,000+ customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue was $669.1M in 2025 from renewable annual subscriptions for vulnerability management, patch management, and other cloud apps.

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