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Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $176.99: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.04; Below-average business quality.

Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment... Read more

$176.99+0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Stop $167.34Target $177.66(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$181.53+2.6%19 analysts
$177.66our TP
$176.99price
$181.53mean
$138
$213

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $176.99: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.04; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$69.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta
Dividend2.93%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.04bearish
IV49%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 14 to 16 directors; Kevin O. Meyers and Howard I. Ungerleider appointed as independent directors effective March 6, 2026, both joining Audit and Finance and Public Policy and Sustainability Committees. No officer departures involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.7
Net Margin
1.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $153.58Resistance $181.29

Price Targets

$167
$178
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $176.99: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.04; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $167.34. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $177.66 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $167.34. Stop-loss: $167.34.

What are the risks of investing in PSX?

Target reached (-7.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is PSX overvalued or undervalued?

Phillips 66 trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSX?

27 analysts cover PSX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $182.

What does Phillips 66 do?Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and...

Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services. It also exports liquefied petroleum gas. The Chemicals segment produces and markets ethylene and other olefin products; aromatics and styrenics products, such as benzene, cyclohexane, styrene, and polystyrene; various specialty chemical products, including organosulfur chemicals, solvents, catalysts, and chemicals used in drilling and mining; and petrochemicals and plastics. The Refining segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, such as gasolines and distillates, including aviation fuels. The M&S segment purchases for resale and markets refined products, including gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels. This segment also manufactures and markets specialty products, such as automotive, commercial, industrial, and specialty lubricants, as well as base oils. The Renewable Fuels segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable products, as well as supplies sustainable aviation fuel. This segment also procures renewable feedstocks, manages certain regulatory credits, and markets renewable diesel, renewable jet fuel, and other renewable fuels. The company markets its products under the Phillips 66, Conoco and 76, JET, Kendall, Red Line, and other private label brands. Phillips 66 was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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