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PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

PPL Corporation is a utility holding company delivering electricity in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island, and natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island, through three regulated segments: Kentucky ($3.8B operating revenues), Pennsylvania ($3.1B), and Rhode Island... Read more

$39.34+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#18 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $37.95Target $39.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$42.13+7.1%15 analysts
$39.30our TP
$39.34price
$42.13mean
$36
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$29.1B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn13.1%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.68
Dividend2.95%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Value Rank
2.4
Quality Rank
3.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.55Resistance $40.10

Price Targets

$38
$39
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $37.95. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PPL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.30 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $37.95. Stop-loss: $37.95.

What are the risks of investing in PPL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is PPL overvalued or undervalued?

PPL Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PPL?

21 analysts cover PPL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $42.

What does PPL Corporation do?PPL Corporation is a utility holding company delivering electricity in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode...

PPL Corporation is a utility holding company delivering electricity in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island, and natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island, through three regulated segments: Kentucky ($3.8B operating revenues), Pennsylvania ($3.1B), and Rhode Island ($2.2B) in 2025, serving approximately 3.7 million customers. Profitability is dependent on rate recovery approved by FERC, KPSC, VSCC, PAPUC, and RIPUC across its service territories. The combined regulatory asset base was $28.9B at year-end 2025.

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