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PNCPNC Financial Services Group, IHold6.1·$234.69+1.79%
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PNC Financial Services Group, I (PNC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $234.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (PNC Bank primary regulator); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

PNC Financial Services Group operates retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management through PNC Bank and subsidiaries across the U.S., with a coast-to-coast branch network. At December 31, 2025, consolidated total assets were $573.6 billion, deposits... Read more

$234.69+0.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#63 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.95%(5y avg 3.51%)Payout38.93%sustainable
Stop $224.25Target $235.04(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$255.32+8.8%19 analysts
$235.04our TP
$234.69price
$255.32mean
$280

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $234.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (PNC Bank primary regulator); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PNC Financial Services Group, I

About PNC Financial Services Group, I

PNC Financial Services Group reported $573.6 billion in consolidated total assets and $440.9 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. PNC Bank — supervised by the OCC — operates retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management nationally through a coast-to-coast branch network; PNC Financial as a Bank Holding Company is subject to Federal Reserve oversight. On January 5, 2026, PNC completed its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, adding $26.4 billion in assets.

PNC earns revenue from net interest income across a broad loan portfolio spanning consumer, commercial, and corporate banking, supplemented by fee income from asset management, capital markets advisory, treasury management, and mortgage services. As a Category III banking organization — holding more than $250 billion but less than $700 billion in total assets and not designated as a GSIB — PNC must maintain a minimum CET1 ratio of 4.5% plus its 2.5% Stress Capital Buffer effective October 1, 2025, for an effective floor of 7.0%. PNC Bank's dividends to the holding company are the principal source of parent-level liquidity, making PNC Bank's capital adequacy a direct constraint on shareholder distributions. Non-banking subsidiaries conduct market-making, securities underwriting, and advisory activities.

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The Federal Reserve's monetary policy actions directly shape PNC's net interest income — the 10-K notes that PNC cannot control or accurately predict the nature or timing of future changes in monetary policies. In April 2025, the Federal Reserve proposed averaging stress-test results over two consecutive years, a change intended for the 2026 CCAR cycle that has not been finalized; until resolved, PNC's Stress Capital Buffer and its dividend and repurchase capacity may face uncertainty extending into 2027.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From PNC Financial Services Group, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (PNC Bank primary regulator)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$92.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta0.92
Dividend2.95%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.52bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$75-68.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryOCC (PNC Bank primary regulator)
    10-K Item 1A: 'PNC Bank is a federally chartered bank, with the OCC as its primary regulator.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOW
    On April 22, 2026, PNC shareholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan at the annual meeting, previously approved by the Board on March 5, 2026. Plan authorizes equity and cash awards to employees, directors, and service providers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $211.35Resistance $239.84

Price Targets

$224
$235
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $234.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (PNC Bank primary regulator); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $235.04 (+0.1%), stop $224.25 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $235.04 (+0.1% upside). Target $235.04 (+0.1%), stop $224.25 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $224.25.

What are the risks of investing in PNC?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (PNC Bank primary regulator); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Is PNC overvalued or undervalued?

PNC Financial Services Group, I trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PNC?

26 analysts cover PNC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $255.

What does PNC Financial Services Group, I do?PNC Financial Services Group operates retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management through...

PNC Financial Services Group operates retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management through PNC Bank and subsidiaries across the U.S., with a coast-to-coast branch network. At December 31, 2025, consolidated total assets were $573.6 billion, deposits $440.9 billion, and shareholders' equity $60.6 billion.

Related stocks: SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · PNFP (Pinnacle Financial Partners, In) · NU (Nu Holdings Ltd.) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · ZION (Zions Bancorporation N.A.)
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