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Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin (DUK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet.

Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving ~8.7 million customers across six states in the Southeast and Midwest through its Electric Utilities & Infrastructure segment, plus a Gas Utilities & Infrastructure segment including Piedmont. Revenue comes from... Read more

$128.79+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#19 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $124.18Target $131.45(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$139.39+8.2%18 analysts
$131.45our TP
$128.79price
$139.39mean
$146

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$98.5B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta0.45
Dividend3.37%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditynuclear fleet
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our nuclear fleet is central to our ability to meet these objectives and customer expectations.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.5
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $124.90Resistance $134.13

Price Targets

$124
$131
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DUK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $124.18. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DUK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $131.45 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $124.18. Stop-loss: $124.18.

What are the risks of investing in DUK?

Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Is DUK overvalued or undervalued?

Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DUK?

28 analysts cover DUK with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin do?Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving ~8.7 million customers across six states in the Southeast...

Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving ~8.7 million customers across six states in the Southeast and Midwest through its Electric Utilities & Infrastructure segment, plus a Gas Utilities & Infrastructure segment including Piedmont. Revenue comes from regulated rates set by state commissions in NC, SC, FL, OH, IN, and KY, with the nuclear fleet a central component of the generation mix.

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