Skip to main content

Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin (DUK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.56 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving approximately 8.7 million customers across six Southeast and Midwest states through subsidiaries including Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana, and Duke Energy Ohio.... Read more

$124.56+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#8 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-2.35%
IncomeYield3.47%(5y avg 3.83%)Payout65.23%
Stop $120.42Target $125.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$139.22+11.8%18 analysts
$125.30our TP
$124.56price
$139.22mean
$146

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.56 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$95.8B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn15.7%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.40
Dividend3.47%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV31%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $120.90Resistance $129.58

Price Targets

$120
$125
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DUK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.56 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $120.42. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DUK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $125.30 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $120.42. Stop-loss: $120.42.

What are the risks of investing in DUK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is DUK overvalued or undervalued?

Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DUK?

29 analysts cover DUK with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin do?Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving approximately 8.7 million customers across six Southeast...

Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving approximately 8.7 million customers across six Southeast and Midwest states through subsidiaries including Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana, and Duke Energy Ohio. Revenue comes from commission-approved rates on 55,713 MW of generation; 2025 fuel mix was 33.5% natural gas, 27.5% nuclear, and 14.5% coal.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · KEP (Korea Electric Power Corporatio) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · ES (Eversource Energy (D/B/A))