PACS Group, Inc. (PACS) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.72: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.04; Below-average business quality.
PACS Group is one of the largest skilled nursing facility operators in the US, operating 321 post-acute care facilities across 17 states serving 31,700+ patients daily. Revenue of $5.3B in 2025 comes primarily from Medicare (33.7%) and Medicaid (40.5%) reimbursements; the... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.72: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.04; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — PACS Group, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- Apr 27, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Carey Hendrickson appointed CFO effective April 27, 2026 (successor named, previously CFO at U.S. Physical Therapy). Mark Hancock ceases as Interim CFO but remains Executive Vice Chairman; plans to retire June 30, 2026.
Latest news
- PACS : Intends to Release First Quarter 2026 Earnings on Monday, May 11, 2026, and Host a Call to Discuss Financial Resu — marketscreener.com neutral
- PACS Group Appoints New Chief Financial Officer Hendrickson - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- Is It Too Late To Consider PACS Group (PACS) After Its 266.3% One-Year Surge? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- PACS Group, Inc. (PACS) Q1 earnings and revenues surpass estimates - msn.com — msn.com positive
- PACS Group, Inc. (PACS) Q1 earnings and revenues surpass estimates - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerMedicare34%10-K Item 1: 'Medicare and Medicaid, which represent our largest sources of revenue and accounted for 33.7% and 40.5% of our routine revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomerMedicaid41%10-K Item 1: 'Medicare and Medicaid, which represent our largest sources of revenue and accounted for 33.7% and 40.5% of our routine revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, respectively.'
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1: 'The majority of these leased facilities are in California'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUMCarey Hendrickson appointed CFO effective April 27, 2026 (successor named, previously CFO at U.S. Physical Therapy). Mark Hancock ceases as Interim CFO but remains Executive Vice Chairman; plans to retire June 30, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOWPatrick H. Conway, MD, MSc appointed to Board as Class III director effective March 4, 2026. No family relationships or related-party transactions disclosed. No reason cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Volatile — 6.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.72: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.04; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $34.15. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $42.78 (+16.5% upside). Prior stop was $34.15. Stop-loss: $34.15.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow.
PACS Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover PACS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $49.
What does PACS Group, Inc. do?PACS Group is one of the largest skilled nursing facility operators in the US, operating 321 post-acute care facilities...
PACS Group is one of the largest skilled nursing facility operators in the US, operating 321 post-acute care facilities across 17 states serving 31,700+ patients daily. Revenue of $5.3B in 2025 comes primarily from Medicare (33.7%) and Medicaid (40.5%) reimbursements; the majority of leased facilities are in California.