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OXLCOxford Lane Capital Corp.Sell5.7·$8.84+0.45%
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Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.84: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated... Read more

$8.84+30.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#72 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.32%
IncomeYield27.24%(5y avg 21.01%)Payout1215.91%at-risk
Stop $8.33Target $11.47(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$13.50+52.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.84: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)1.7
Mkt Cap$860M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-126.1%
ROE-39.2%
Rev Growth-10.2%
Beta0.64
Dividend27.24%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Growth Rank
1.6
Value Rank
9.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 2724.0%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.11Resistance $9.77

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXLC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.84: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Prior stop was $8.33. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OXLC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.47 (+30.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.33. Stop-loss: $8.33.

What are the risks of investing in OXLC?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OXLC overvalued or undervalued?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 1.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OXLC?

8 analysts cover OXLC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Oxford Lane Capital Corp. do?Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed...

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated below investment grade or is unrated. Oxford Lane Capital Corp was formed on June 9, 2010 and is domiciled in the United States.

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