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Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.80 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company with Electric utility (43% of 2025 revenues, serving ~134,000 customers in MN/ND/SD), Manufacturing (BTD, T.O. Plastics), and Plastics (Northern Pipe, Vinyltech PVC pipe) segments. Revenue from regulated electric rates,... Read more

$87.80+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 9 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-2.00%
IncomeYield2.51%(5y avg 2.41%)Payout32.32%sustainable
Stop $83.56Target $89.25(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$90.50+3.1%2 analysts
$89.25our TP
$87.80price
$90.50mean
$86
$95

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.80 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Otter Tail Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)16.3
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE15.5%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.47
Dividend2.51%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-2 Electric segment customers16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two customers combined to account for 16% of Electric segment revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Manufacturing segment customers44%
    10-K Item 1A: 'three customers combined to account for 44% of Manufacturing segment operating revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-2 Plastics segment customers47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two customers combined to account for 47% of Plastics segment operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Tim Rogelstad elected as President of Otter Tail Corporation effective April 13, 2026; Charles MacFarlane stepped down as President but remains CEO. Internal promotion. CFO appointment details in same filing were truncated.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Macd
3.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.82Resistance $91.07

Price Targets

$84
$89
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.80 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $83.56. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OTTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.25 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $83.56. Stop-loss: $83.56.

What are the risks of investing in OTTR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is OTTR overvalued or undervalued?

Otter Tail Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OTTR?

10 analysts cover OTTR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Otter Tail Corporation do?Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company with Electric utility (43% of 2025 revenues, serving ~134,000...

Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company with Electric utility (43% of 2025 revenues, serving ~134,000 customers in MN/ND/SD), Manufacturing (BTD, T.O. Plastics), and Plastics (Northern Pipe, Vinyltech PVC pipe) segments. Revenue from regulated electric rates, metal fabrication, and PVC pipe sales to municipal, commercial, and residential markets.

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