O'Reilly Automotive is a high-quality auto parts retailer with a strong Piotroski score of 8/9 and 22% analyst upside, but a confirmed downtrend, thin 9.9% upside margin, elevated put-to-call ratio of 3.52, and a recent executive departure create a cautious near-term outlook.
Thesis pillars
- Piotroski Quality Moat→Stable
- Analyst Upside 22pct→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Risk→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $84.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $84.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Beats Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS O'Reilly (NASDAQ:ORLY) Exceeds Q1 CY2026 Expectations - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS O'REILLY AUTO ($ORLY) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Delivered 33rd Consecutive Year of Positive Comp Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-07-07T12:51:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOWShareholders re-elected 9 directors at the 2026 Annual Meeting on May 14, 2026. Greg Henslee (Executive Chairman) received a $2,000,000 stock option award vesting 25% per year over 4 years. No officer departures cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $84.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $99.23 (+17.4%), stop $80.23 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $99.23 (+17.8% upside). Target $99.23 (+17.4%), stop $80.23 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $80.23.
Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.4 (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
36 analysts cover ORLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $110.
What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through...
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and professional service provider customers (~50%), supported by 32 distribution centers offering over 156,000 SKUs with same-day or overnight replenishment.