O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Beats Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS O'Reilly (NASDAQ:ORLY) Exceeds Q1 CY2026 Expectations - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS O'REILLY AUTO ($ORLY) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Delivered 33rd Consecutive Year of Positive Comp Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-17T09:41:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOWShareholders re-elected 9 directors at the 2026 Annual Meeting on May 14, 2026. Greg Henslee (Executive Chairman) received a $2,000,000 stock option award vesting 25% per year over 4 years. No officer departures cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $86.50. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $99.19 (+9.4% upside). Prior stop was $86.50. Stop-loss: $86.50.
Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.4 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover ORLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $110.
What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through...
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and professional service provider customers (~50%), supported by 32 distribution centers offering over 156,000 SKUs with same-day or overnight replenishment.