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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $98.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

O'Reilly Automotive is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts in North America, operating 6,447 stores across 48 U.S. states and Puerto Rico plus 138 international stores as of December 31, 2025. It serves both DIY and professional service... Read more

$98.39-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $93.97Target $97.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$105.75+7.5%24 analysts
$97.80our TP
$98.39price
$105.75mean
$64
$115

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $98.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.9
P/E (Fwd)25.7
Mkt Cap$76.9B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn14.3%
ROE
Rev Growth7.8%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$75-23.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.6
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.1
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $90.24Resistance $99.80

Price Targets

$94
$98
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORLY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $98.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $93.97. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORLY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.80 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $93.97. Stop-loss: $93.97.

What are the risks of investing in ORLY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ORLY overvalued or undervalued?

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.9 (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ORLY?

36 analysts cover ORLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $106.

What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?O'Reilly Automotive is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts in North America,...

O'Reilly Automotive is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts in North America, operating 6,447 stores across 48 U.S. states and Puerto Rico plus 138 international stores as of December 31, 2025. It serves both DIY and professional service provider customers, deriving approximately 50% of 2025 sales from each group. A 15-for-1 stock split was completed June 10, 2025.

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