O'Reilly Automotive is a high-quality auto parts retailer with a strong Piotroski score of 8/9 and 22% analyst upside, but a confirmed downtrend, thin 9.9% upside margin, elevated put-to-call ratio of 3.52, and a recent executive departure create a cautious near-term outlook.
Thesis pillars
- Piotroski Quality Moat→Stable
- Analyst Upside 22pct↑Improving
- Confirmed Downtrend Risk↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. At $88.50, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $88.50, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-16Recent Developments — O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) Posts Earnings Results, Meets Expectations - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
Generated 2026-10-16T11:42:17Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOWShareholders re-elected 9 directors at the 2026 Annual Meeting on May 14, 2026. Greg Henslee (Executive Chairman) received a $2,000,000 stock option award vesting 25% per year over 4 years. No officer departures cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $88.50, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $85.14. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $96.61 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $85.14. Stop-loss: $85.14.
Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover ORLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $107.
What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through...
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and professional service provider customers (~50%), supported by 32 distribution centers offering over 156,000 SKUs with same-day or overnight replenishment.