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Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.23: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

We are a leading e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions and the largest U.S. iBuyer. Since founding Opendoor in 2014, our goal has been to reinvent one of life's most important transactions by enabling homeowners to buy, sell, and move through a simple,... Read more

$4.23+37.4% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#16 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield28.52%
Stop $4.04Target $5.88(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$4.82+14.0%7 analysts
$5.88our TP
$4.23price
$4.82mean
$1
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.23: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.3Qual1.7Grw0.0Mom1.8Sent6.9Ins5.4Peer2.2Tech6.5Risk4.03.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Opendoor Technologies Inc

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-361.5
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA-13.3
Profit Mgn-35.2%
ROE-173.6%
Rev Growth-37.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -37.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -38%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -35.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.9
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.0
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.17Resistance $6.00

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+39.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.23: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $4.04. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the OPEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.88 (+37.4% upside). Prior stop was $4.04. Stop-loss: $4.04.

What are the risks of investing in OPEN?

Target reached (-2.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is OPEN overvalued or undervalued?

Opendoor Technologies Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -361.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPEN?

16 analysts cover OPEN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Opendoor Technologies Inc do?We are a leading e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions and the largest U.S. iBuyer. Since...

We are a leading e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions and the largest U.S. iBuyer. Since founding Opendoor in 2014, our goal has been to reinvent one of life's most important transactions by enabling homeowners to buy, sell, and move through a simple, certain, and largely digital experience.

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