Onterris shows extraordinary cash conversion and modest insider buying, but declining revenue keeps quality below the engine's floor, and the stock's rally looks technically overbought within a confirmed downtrend.
Thesis pillars
- Extreme Cash Conversion→Stable
- Declining Revenue Quality Gap→Stable
- Overbought Bear Rally Risk↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Onterris, Inc. (ONT) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.26: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality.
Onterris, Inc. operates as an environmental services company in the United States, Australia, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Consulting and Treatment, and Measurement and Analysis. The Consulting and Treatment segment provides environmental consulting,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.26: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-13Recent Developments — Onterris, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Onterris, Lowers Price Target to $14 — benzinga Oct 8, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 'Contractor Played Down Contamination Risks After Ohio Train Disaster, Worker Says' - WSJ Exclusive — benzinga Sep 23, 2026 negative
- NEWS Onterris Expands 20‑Yr Global Partnership with Integrated Energy Company, Delivering Specialized Environmental, Remediat — benzinga Aug 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS This Tower Semiconductor Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 2 Initiations For Friday — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Needham Maintains Buy on Onterris, Lowers Price Target to $23 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-13T11:52:23Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductAssessment, Permitting and Response37%10-K Item 1: 'Assessment, Permitting and Response. ... generated approximately 37.0% of our revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- LOWCustomerlargest client18%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest client represented approximately 17.8% of revenue for fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- HIGHCustomerthree customers57%10-K Item 1: '56.9% of our Assessment, Permitting and Response segment revenues were attributable to three customers'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -20.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Volatile — 9.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.26: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $12.33. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.83 (+19.4% upside). Prior stop was $12.33. Stop-loss: $12.33.
Concentration risk — Customer: three customers (56.9%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Onterris, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover ONT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Onterris, Inc. do?Onterris, Inc. operates as an environmental services company in the United States, Australia, Canada, and...
Onterris, Inc. operates as an environmental services company in the United States, Australia, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Consulting and Treatment, and Measurement and Analysis. The Consulting and Treatment segment provides environmental consulting, engineering, and implementation services to help clients assess, manage, and mitigate environmental risks across the lifecycle of their operations and projects. It supports environmental assessments, regulatory permitting, toxicology consulting, emergency preparedness, and response and environmental audits and permits; and offers engineering, design, and implementation solutions to treat contaminated water and remediate soil. The Measurement and Analysis segment offers environmental testing and laboratory services. It tests and analyzes air, water, and soil to determine concentrations of contaminants, as well as the toxicological impact of contaminants on flora, fauna, and human health. This segment's offerings include source and ambient air testing and monitoring, and leak detection, as well as air, soil, stormwater, wastewater, and drinking water analysis. The company was formerly known as Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. and changed its name to Onterris, Inc. in April 2026. Onterris, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in North Little Rock, Arkansas.