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OGGOsisko Gold Group Inc.Sell4.2·$2.85-1.04%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OGG's engine flags extreme risk with an earnings-quality red flag and a confirmed downtrend, recommending investors avoid new exposure despite technically clearing momentum and asymmetry gates.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendStable
  • Risk Below Engine FloorDeteriorating
  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Osisko Gold Group Inc. (OGG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.85: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 9.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.27; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

Osisko Gold Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, and develops precious metals resource properties in Canada, Mexico, and the United States. The company explores for precious and base metal, gold, silver, lithium, copper, lead, and zinc deposits. Its... Read more

$2.85+93.9% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#40 of 42 Gold
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-31.94%
Stop $2.65Target $5.52(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 9.4:1
Analyst target$6.50+128.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.85: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 9.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.27; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-10

Recent Developments — Osisko Gold Group Inc.

Generated 2026-09-10T18:07:14Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$881M
EV/EBITDA-39.1
Profit Mgn149.5%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth377.1%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.27bearish
IV104%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.8
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Volatile — 5.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
3.5
Debt Equity
8.0
Elevated put/call: 2.27High IV: 104%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 9.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.69Resistance $3.25

Price Targets

$3
$6
A.Upside+93.9%
A.R:R9.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for OGG.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.85: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 9.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.27; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $2.65. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.52 (+93.9% upside). Prior stop was $2.65. Stop-loss: $2.65.

What are the risks of investing in OGG?

Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0).

Is OGG overvalued or undervalued?

Osisko Gold Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 0.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGG?

13 analysts cover OGG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Osisko Gold Group Inc. do?Osisko Gold Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, and develops precious metals resource...

Osisko Gold Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, and develops precious metals resource properties in Canada, Mexico, and the United States. The company explores for precious and base metal, gold, silver, lithium, copper, lead, and zinc deposits. Its flagship asset is the 100% owned Cariboo Gold Project, which covers an area of approximately 192,000 hectares consisting of 443 mineral and placer titles located in British Columbia, Canada. The company also holds a portfolio of marketable securities. Osisko Gold Group Inc. was formerly known as Osisko Development Corp. and changed its name to Osisko Gold Group Inc. in July 2026. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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