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OGGOsisko Gold Group Inc.Sell4.6·$2.55
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Osisko Gold Group is a gold name in a confirmed downtrend, down 51% from its high and oversold, with 150% analyst-target upside and strong margins offset by a severe earnings-quality warning and a rich valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Oversold↑Improving
  • Rich Valuation↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Osisko Gold Group Inc. (OGG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.55: Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 9.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Rich valuation; Below long-term trend.

Osisko Gold Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, and develops precious metals resource properties in Canada, Mexico, and the United States. The company explores for precious and base metal, gold, silver, lithium, copper, lead, and zinc deposits. Its... Read more

$2.55+130.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#38 of 45 Gold
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-34.93%
Stop $2.37Analyst target $5.87(−15% haircut)A.R:R 9.5:1
Analyst consensus$6.90+170.6%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.55: Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 9.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Rich valuation; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 6, 2026

Recent Developments — Osisko Gold Group Inc.

Latest item Nov 6, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-09T12:08:24Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$805M
EV/EBITDA-32.4
Profit Mgn149.5%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth377.1%
Beta1.97
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.6
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Volatile — 5.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Beta
3.4
Debt Equity
8.0
Elevated put/call: 2.00

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.6
Bollinger
3.9
Support Resistance
4.6
Gap
5.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 9.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.20Resistance $2.85

Price Targets

$2
$6
A.Upside+130.0%
A.R:R9.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.55: Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 9.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Rich valuation; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $2.37. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGG stock price target?

Analyst target: $5.87 (+130.0% upside). Prior stop was $2.37. Stop-loss: $2.37.

What are the risks of investing in OGG?

Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0).

Is OGG overvalued or undervalued?

Osisko Gold Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 1.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGG?

13 analysts rate OGG, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $7.

What does Osisko Gold Group Inc. do?Osisko Gold Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, and develops precious metals resource...

Osisko Gold Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, and develops precious metals resource properties in Canada, Mexico, and the United States. The company explores for precious and base metal, gold, silver, lithium, copper, lead, and zinc deposits. Its flagship asset is the 100% owned Cariboo Gold Project, which covers an area of approximately 192,000 hectares consisting of 443 mineral and placer titles located in British Columbia, Canada. The company also holds a portfolio of marketable securities. Osisko Gold Group Inc. was formerly known as Osisko Development Corp. and changed its name to Osisko Gold Group Inc. in July 2026. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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