Skip to main content
NWGNatWest Group plcHold5.6·$16.55
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NatWest Group trades at a forward P/E of 7.7x with 37% net margins, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a perfect earnings beat streak over the last 4 quarters, but the stock has effectively reached analyst price targets and has falling on-balance volume, suggesting limited near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Forward Pe Margin Of Safety→Stable
  • Strong Earnings And Margins↑Improving
  • Obv Distribution Signal↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NatWest Group plc (NWG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth.

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers... Read more

$16.55+10.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#155 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield5.70%(5y avg 4.65%)Payout47.43%sustainable
Stop $15.45Analyst target $18.22(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst consensus$21.44+29.5%4 analysts with price targets
$18.22Analyst target
$16.55price
$21.44mean
$23

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 99d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — NatWest Group plc

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Feb 12, 202799d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$65.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn36.9%
ROE14.6%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta0.83
Dividend5.70%
Analysts with ratings28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 99d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.31Resistance $18.08

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+10.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-12 (99d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $18.22 (+10.1%), stop $15.45 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWG stock price target?

Analyst target: $18.22 (+10.1% upside). Analyst target $18.22 (+10.1%), stop $15.45 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $15.45.

What are the risks of investing in NWG?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth.

Is NWG overvalued or undervalued?

NatWest Group plc trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWG?

28 analysts rate NWG, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $21.

What does NatWest Group plc do?NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United...

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and online banking services. Its Private Banking segment provides banking, lending, and wealth management products for high-net-worth individuals and their business interests. The Commercial & Institutional segment consists of customer businesses under business banking, commercial mid-market, and corporates and institutions; and offers banking operations services in the Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Gibraltar, and Luxembourg, as well as products and solutions for businesses comprising start-ups, corporates, and large institutions. The company was formerly known as The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc and changed its name to NatWest Group plc in July 2020. NatWest Group plc was founded in 1727 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · WF (Woori Financial Group Inc.) · HDB (HDFC Bank Limited) · PB (Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › NWG

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey99d ago
TradingView190d ago
MSN190d ago
London Stock Exchange8d ago
London Stock Exchange8d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai197d ago
Insider Monkey197d ago
MarketWatch15d ago
Simply Wall Street15d ago
Marketscreener.com22d ago
TradingView22d ago
GuruFocus100d ago
MarketWatch100d ago
TradingKey100d ago
TradingKey100d ago
Marketscreener.com191d ago
Marketscreener.com191d agoLeadership Change
MarketWatch9d ago
Kalkine Media9d ago
MarketBeat9d ago
Loading more...