Skip to main content
NWGNatWest Group plcHold6.3·$18.49
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NatWest Group trades at a forward P/E of 7.7x with 37% net margins, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a perfect earnings beat streak over the last 4 quarters, but the stock has effectively reached analyst price targets and has falling on-balance volume, suggesting limited near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Forward Pe Margin Of Safety→Stable
  • Strong Earnings And Margins↑Improving
  • Obv Distribution Signal→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NatWest Group plc (NWG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers... Read more

$18.49+0.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#54 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield5.27%(5y avg 4.85%)Payout44.25%sustainable
Stop $17.65Target $18.63(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$21.91+18.5%4 analysts
$18.63our TP
$18.49price
$21.91mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Recent Developments — NatWest Group plc

Generated 2026-09-26T04:01:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$72.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta0.81
Dividend5.27%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.91Resistance $19.06

Price Targets

$18
$19
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.7% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $18.63 (+0.8%), stop $17.65 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.63 (+0.7% upside). Target $18.63 (+0.8%), stop $17.65 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $17.65.

What are the risks of investing in NWG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Is NWG overvalued or undervalued?

NatWest Group plc trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWG?

28 analysts cover NWG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $22.

What does NatWest Group plc do?NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United...

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and online banking services. Its Private Banking segment provides banking, lending, and wealth management products for high-net-worth individuals and their business interests. The Commercial & Institutional segment consists of customer businesses under business banking, commercial mid-market, and corporates and institutions; and offers banking operations services in the Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Gibraltar, and Luxembourg, as well as products and solutions for businesses comprising start-ups, corporates, and large institutions. The company was formerly known as The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc and changed its name to NatWest Group plc in July 2020. NatWest Group plc was founded in 1727 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: ONB (Old National Bancorp) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · BSBR (Banco Santander Brasil SA) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · ZION (Zions Bancorporation N.A.)
Home › Stocks › NWG

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey59d ago
TradingView150d ago
MSN150d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai156d ago
Insider Monkey156d ago
GuruFocus59d ago
MarketWatch60d ago
TradingKey60d ago
TradingKey60d ago
Marketscreener.com150d ago
Marketscreener.com151d agoLeadership Change
MarketWatch67d ago
MarketBeat158d agoAnalyst
The Globe and Mail53d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus57d ago
MarketWatch58d ago
GuruFocus58d agoEarnings
GuruFocus148d ago
AD HOC NEWS149d agoEarnings
MarketWatch65d ago
Loading more...