Skip to main content

NatWest Group plc (NWG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $15.05. At $15.96 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.05 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers... Read more

$15.96+7.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#95 of 142 Banks - Regional
Entry $15.05(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $14.34Target $16.36(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$19.24+20.6%3 analysts
$16.36our TP
$15.96price
$19.24mean
$21

Wait for pullback to $15.05. At $15.96 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.05 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.0Qual4.9Grw5.0Mom3.3Sent5.9Ins5.0Peer6.2Tech5.9Risk6.95.6OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.4
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$61.1B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn36.5%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta0.83
Dividend5.71%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.63bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$25+56.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Volume
2.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.03Resistance $17.19

Price Targets

$14
$15
$16
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.05. At $15.96 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.05 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $16.36 (+2.5%), stop $14.34 (−11.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.36 (+7.6% upside). Target $16.36 (+2.5%), stop $14.34 (−11.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $14.34.

What are the risks of investing in NWG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is NWG overvalued or undervalued?

NatWest Group plc trades at a P/E of 8.4 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NWG?

27 analysts cover NWG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does NatWest Group plc do?NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United...

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and online banking services. Its Private Banking segment provides banking, lending, and wealth management products for high-net-worth individuals and their business interests. The Commercial & Institutional segment consists of customer businesses under business banking, commercial mid-market, and corporates and institutions; and offers banking operations services in the Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Gibraltar, and Luxembourg, as well as products and solutions for businesses comprising start-ups, corporates, and large institutions. The company was formerly known as The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc and changed its name to NatWest Group plc in July 2020. NatWest Group plc was founded in 1727 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: VLY (Valley National Bancorp) · PNFP (Pinnacle Financial Partners, In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · BPOP (Popular, Inc.)