Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NTNX stock price target?

Take-profit $49.21 (+20.6% upside). Target $49.21 (+20.5%), stop $37.96 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.4:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in NTNX?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Nutanix provides a unified hybrid multicloud software platform for running applications and managing data across on-premises, edge, and public cloud environments, operating as a single business segment. Revenue is subscription-based, sold to enterprise customers globally through... Read more

$40.83+20.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#23 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $37.96Target $49.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1

Analyst target$54.68+33.9%15 analysts

$49.21our TP

$40.83price

$54.68mean

$65

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Strong growth profile

Analyst upside: 21%

Risks

Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.7

P/E (Fwd)19.4

Mkt Cap$11.1B

EV/EBITDA36.7

Profit Mgn9.9%

ROE—

Rev Growth10.4%

Beta0.52

DividendNone

Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish

IV62%elevated

Max Pain$23-44.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.615%0.84

Quality6.615%0.99

Growth7.515%1.13

Momentum5.810%0.58

Sentiment7.210%0.72

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.510%0.45

Technical Setup2.85%0.14

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)6.03

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.0

Support Resistance

1.9

Bollinger

3.3

Gap

6.0

GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

72 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.01Resistance $42.41

Price Targets

$38

$49

A.Upside+20.5%

A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-27 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NTNX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $49.21 (+20.5%), stop $37.96 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTNX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.21 (+20.6% upside). Target $49.21 (+20.5%), stop $37.96 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $37.96.

What are the risks of investing in NTNX?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NTNX overvalued or undervalued?

Nutanix, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.7 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTNX?

25 analysts cover NTNX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Nutanix, Inc. do?Nutanix provides a unified hybrid multicloud software platform for running applications and managing data across...