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NextNav Inc. (NN) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.50: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality.

NextNav Inc. is a complementary positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) technology company providing terrestrial GPS backup/complement services through its Pinnacle (z-axis altitude) and TerraPoiNT systems, operating on FCC-licensed 900 MHz low-band spectrum covering over 90%... Read more

$22.50+0.6% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#77 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-0.64%
Stop $21.22Target $22.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$27.00+20.0%2 analysts
$22.95our TP
$22.50price
$27.00mean
$29

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.50: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — NextNav Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.6% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-31.3
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA-49.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-35.3%
Beta1.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$26+15.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -35.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -35%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -492% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
8.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.1
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.85Resistance $22.94

Price Targets

$21
$23
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.50: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $21.22. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the NN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.95 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $21.22. Stop-loss: $21.22.

What are the risks of investing in NN?

Target reached (0.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is NN overvalued or undervalued?

NextNav Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -31.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NN?

10 analysts cover NN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $27.

What does NextNav Inc. do?NextNav Inc. is a complementary positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) technology company providing terrestrial GPS...

NextNav Inc. is a complementary positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) technology company providing terrestrial GPS backup/complement services through its Pinnacle (z-axis altitude) and TerraPoiNT systems, operating on FCC-licensed 900 MHz low-band spectrum covering over 90% of the US population. Revenue comes from licensing its technology to AT&T/FirstNet and wireless carriers for E911 applications. The company is pursuing FCC rule changes to enable 5G NR deployment on its spectrum through a Petition for Rulemaking.

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