Skip to main content
NNNextNav Inc.Sell3.6·$19.55+0.10%
Open full analysis

NextNav Inc. (NN) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.55: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality.

NextNav Inc. is a complementary positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) technology company providing terrestrial GPS backup/complement services through its Pinnacle (z-axis altitude) and TerraPoiNT systems, operating on FCC-licensed 900 MHz low-band spectrum covering over 90%... Read more

$19.55+77.4% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#76 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-0.74%
Stop $17.60Target $33.57(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst target$39.50+102.0%2 analysts
$33.57our TP
$19.55price
$39.50mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.55: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NextNav Inc.

About NextNav Inc.

NextNav's Pinnacle service covers over 90% of commercial structures exceeding three stories across the top 105 U.S. markets, providing E911 altitude data to Verizon and devices on other national carrier networks. In 2025, a spectrum transaction with Telesaurus and Skybridge Spectrum Foundation expanded the company's FCC-licensed low-band 900 MHz holdings to 12 MHz, covering over 90% of the U.S. population. The FCC's March 27, 2025 PNT Notice of Inquiry referenced the company's pending rulemaking petition to optimize the Lower 900 MHz band for 5G NR operations.

NextNav earns revenue by licensing its location technologies and data to wireless carriers, application developers, and government entities rather than selling hardware. Pinnacle is delivered via API or SDK, with fees generated when end users access third-party platforms that have integrated the service—meaning revenue scales with adoption by customers such as Verizon, AT&T's FirstNet network, and device manufacturers on other national carriers. A contract with the U.S. Department of Transportation establishes TerraPoiNT performance characteristics for the DoT Complementary PNT Action Plan clearinghouse, creating a government procurement channel. If its FCC Petition is granted, NextNav plans to partner with mobile network operators for NextGen 5G deployment, shifting infrastructure costs to those operators in exchange for broadband capacity access. A technology and services agreement signed in 2025 extended the MetCom partnership in Japan, building on the November 2022 Pinnacle launch there.

Show full overview

NextNav's strategy depends on FCC approval of its Lower 900 MHz rulemaking petition, which the agency placed in an active Notice of Inquiry in March 2025 but has not yet decided. Existing LMS licenses face renewal requirements, end-of-term build-out obligations, and ongoing third-party objections from Skybridge and Telesaurus that could result in non-renewal or revocation. The financing model for NextGen 5G deployment—where operator partnerships offset network costs—requires regulatory clearance before operators can commit capital, creating a sequencing risk where both regulatory and partnership timelines must align.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From NextNav Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — NextNav Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-26.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-42.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-35.3%
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV117%elevated
Max Pain$38+94.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

6 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -35.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -35%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -492% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 10.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.6
Days To Cover
1.9
Put Call
2.2
Beta
6.8
Max Pain Risk
7.0
High short interest justified: 19%Elevated put/call: 1.67High IV: 117%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.3
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.1
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.13Resistance $24.42

Price Targets

$18
$34
A.Upside+71.7%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.55: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $17.60. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the NN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.57 (+77.4% upside). Prior stop was $17.60. Stop-loss: $17.60.

What are the risks of investing in NN?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is NN overvalued or undervalued?

NextNav Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NN?

10 analysts cover NN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $40.

What does NextNav Inc. do?NextNav Inc. is a complementary positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) technology company providing terrestrial GPS...

NextNav Inc. is a complementary positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) technology company providing terrestrial GPS backup/complement services through its Pinnacle (z-axis altitude) and TerraPoiNT systems, operating on FCC-licensed 900 MHz low-band spectrum covering over 90% of the US population. Revenue comes from licensing its technology to AT&T/FirstNet and wireless carriers for E911 applications. The company is pursuing FCC rule changes to enable 5G NR deployment on its spectrum through a Petition for Rulemaking.

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · RELY (Remitly Global, Inc.) · KSPI (Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - )
Home Stocks NN

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga34d agoEarnings
Benzinga34d ago
Benzinga34d agoEarnings
Benzinga46d ago
Benzinga56d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga64d ago