NextNav Inc. (NN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NN stock price target?

Take-profit $22.95 (+22.4% upside). Prior stop was $17.44.

Q: What are the risks of investing in NN?

Concentration risk — Supplier: AT&T hosting arrangement; Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is NN overvalued or undervalued?

NextNav Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about NN?

10 analysts cover NN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

$18.82+22.4% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#79 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $17.44Target $22.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1

Analyst target$27.00+43.5%2 analysts

$22.95our TP

$18.82price

$27.00mean

$29

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.82: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Supplier: AT&T hosting arrangement

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-27.2

Mkt Cap$2.4B

EV/EBITDA-40.6

Profit Mgn0.0%

ROE—

Rev Growth-50.6%

Beta0.98

DividendNone

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral

IV118%elevated

Max Pain$5-73.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHSupplierAT&T hosting arrangement
10-K Item 1A: 'Our Pinnacle network infrastructure is dependent on a hosting arrangement with AT&T.'
MEDIUMCustomerAT&T FirstNet distribution
10-K Item 1A: 'We rely, in part, on AT&T for distribution of our services to FirstNet® customers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-27Item 5.02LOW
Board expanded from nine to ten directors; Lisa Hook appointed as director and Lead Independent Director effective February 24, 2026, assigned to Technology and National Defense and Compensation committees. No officer departures.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.015%0.75

Quality2.015%0.30

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum3.310%0.33

Sentiment7.010%0.70

Insider Activity3.910%0.39

Peer Rank3.810%0.38

Technical Setup5.05%0.25

Risk Profile2.75%0.14

Catalyst2.55%0.13

Overall (Σ contributions)4.11

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Piotroski F

2.2

Current Ratio

5.0

Moat

5.0

Cash-burning: FCF -475% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 14 days

Volatile — 10.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover

0.0

Volatility

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Short Interest

1.6

Max Pain Risk

3.0

Beta

7.1

Put Call

7.5

High short interest justified: 19%High IV: 118%Above max pain $5Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

1.4

Rsi

5.0

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.1

Value Rank

5.0

Quality Rank

5.0

GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

60 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.78Resistance $24.19

Price Targets

$17

$23

A.Upside+21.9%

A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.82: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $17.44. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.95 (+22.4% upside). Prior stop was $17.44. Stop-loss: $17.44.

What are the risks of investing in NN?

Concentration risk — Supplier: AT&T hosting arrangement; Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is NN overvalued or undervalued?

NextNav Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NN?

10 analysts cover NN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does NextNav Inc. do?NextNav Inc. provides positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) solutions in the United States. The company offers...

NextNav Inc. provides positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) solutions in the United States. The company offers Pinnacle, an accurate altitude service for public safety applications, including enhanced 911 for Verizon and national cellular network providers. It also provides TerraPoiNT, a 3D PNT system, provides positioning, navigation, and timing services provided by GPS through a land-based GPS satellite constellation. The company serves Wi-Fi, telecom, public safety, location apps, and critical infrastructure industries. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.