MACOM Technology Solutions combines 22% revenue growth and a near-perfect Piotroski score with a wide economic moat in semiconductors, but its current price has already reached the analyst target, leaving negative asymmetry and limiting the risk-reward for new positions.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Growth And Moat→Stable
- Customer Geographic Concentration Risk↑Improving
- Negative Price Asymmetry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
MACOM Technology Solutions Hold (MTSI) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductors
Wait for pullback to $263.58. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $268.95. Engine's entry $263.58 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international customers (56.3%).
MACOM Technology Solutions designs and manufactures analog semiconductor products — amplifiers, ICs, diodes, switches, and photonic components — for Industrial and Defense, Data Center, and Telecom markets, serving over 6,000 end customers. The company uses a fab-lite model with... Read more
Wait for pullback to $263.58. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $268.95. Engine's entry $263.58 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international customers (56.3%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — MACOM Technology Solutions Hold
Latest news
- NEWS MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Tokenized Stock (Robinhood) - CryptoRank — CryptoRank neutral
- NEWS MACOM Technology (NASDAQ: MTSI) Stands Out As Wall Street's Top Pick While Chewy (NYSE: CHWY) And C.H. Robinson (NASDAQ: — foreignpolicyjournal.com positive
- NEWS A Look at MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI) After 7 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS MACOM CFO John Kober Executes Sale of 7,389 Shares in August 2026 Under Rule 10b5-1 Plan - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
- NEWS MACOM (NASDAQ: MTSI) CFO sells 7,389 shares at $320–$331 - Stock Titan — Stock Titan negative
Generated 2026-09-05T13:12:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop 10 customers57%10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our top 10 direct and distribution customers accounted for an aggregate of 56.7% of our revenue'
- LOWCustomerone reseller (12.4% of revenue)12%10-K Item 1: 'One of our resellers accounted for 12.4% and 11.3% of our revenue in fiscal years 2025 and 2024, respectively'
- LOWCustomersecond reseller (11.2% of revenue)11%10-K Item 1: 'A second reseller accounted for 11.2% of our revenue in fiscal year 2025'
- HIGHGeographicinternational customers56%10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to customers located outside the U.S. accounted for 56.3% of our revenue for the fiscal year ended October 3, 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographicChina28%10-K Item 1A: 'fiscal year 2025 sales to customers in China and the Asia Pacific region accounted for 28.4% and 11.5% of total fiscal year 2025 sales, respectively'
- LOWGeographicAsia Pacific region12%10-K Item 1A: 'fiscal year 2025 sales to customers in China and the Asia Pacific region accounted for 28.4% and 11.5% of total fiscal year 2025 sales, respectively'
- HIGHSuppliersingle foundry per process10-K Item 1: 'wafers procured from merchant foundries for a particular process technology are generally sourced through a single foundry on which we rely for all of our wafers in that process'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $263.58. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $268.95. Engine's entry $263.58 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international customers (56.3%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $355.80 (+32.3%), stop $245.13 (−9.7%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $355.80 (+32.3% upside). Target $355.80 (+32.3%), stop $245.13 (−9.7%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $245.13.
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international customers (56.3%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
MACOM Technology Solutions Hold trades at a P/E of 82.8 (forward 30.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
24 analysts cover MTSI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $395.
What does MACOM Technology Solutions Hold do?MACOM Technology Solutions designs and manufactures analog semiconductor products — amplifiers, ICs, diodes, switches,...
MACOM Technology Solutions designs and manufactures analog semiconductor products — amplifiers, ICs, diodes, switches, and photonic components — for Industrial and Defense, Data Center, and Telecom markets, serving over 6,000 end customers. The company uses a fab-lite model with internal GaAs, GaN, and InP fabrication in North America and France plus external foundry partners; international customers represented 56.3% of fiscal year 2025 revenue.