Allegion plc (ALLE) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $126.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Allegion is a global provider of security products including locks, access control systems, and door hardware sold under brands such as Schlage, CISA, and Von Duprin, generating $4,067.3M in net revenues in 2025. Products are sold through distribution and retail channels to... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $126.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Allegion plc
Latest news
- Allegion PLC stock rises Wednesday, still underperforms market - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- Here's Why Allegion (ALLE) is a Strong Growth Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- Is now a good time to buy Allegion (ALLE) stock today | Q4 2025: Below Expectations - Community Sell Signals - Cổng thôn — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai negative
- Here's why Allegion (ALLE) is a strong momentum stock - MSN — MSN positive
- Here's Why Allegion (ALLE) is a Strong Momentum Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers26%10-K Item 1: 'Our 10 largest customers represented approximately 26% of our total Net revenues in 2025. No single customer represented 10% or more of our total Net revenues in 2025.'
- MEDIUMSupplierMexico sourcing10-K Item 1A: 'We estimate we source approximately 20-25% of Cost of goods sold from Mexico and less than 5% of Cost of goods sold from China.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $126.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $121.25. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $144.35 (+14.6% upside). Prior stop was $121.25. Stop-loss: $121.25.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Allegion plc trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ALLE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $166.
What does Allegion plc do?Allegion is a global provider of security products including locks, access control systems, and door hardware sold...
Allegion is a global provider of security products including locks, access control systems, and door hardware sold under brands such as Schlage, CISA, and Von Duprin, generating $4,067.3M in net revenues in 2025. Products are sold through distribution and retail channels to commercial, institutional, and residential customers worldwide.