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British American Tobacco Indus (BTI) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away).

British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the United States, Europe, Latin America, Canada, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Central Asia, Caucasus, and Africa. The company offers vapour products; heated products, which consists of... Read more

$66.41+12.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 6 Tobacco
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.09%
IncomeYield5.03%(5y avg 7.51%)Payout68.73%
Entry $58.80(50-day MA)Stop $55.78Target $65.95(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1Setup A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$67.24+1.2%5 analysts
$65.95our TP
$66.41price
$67.24mean
$58
$72

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $66.35 has reached target $65.95. No upside to wait for. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — British American Tobacco Indus

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.4% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$143.5B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn30.3%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.12
Dividend5.03%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$23-65.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.83Resistance $67.30

Price Targets

$56
$59
$66
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $66.35 has reached target $65.95. No upside to wait for. Target $65.95 (-0.7%), stop $55.78 (−19.1%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.95 (+12.2% upside). Target $65.95 (-0.7%), stop $55.78 (−19.1%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $55.78.

What are the risks of investing in BTI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away); Weak growth.

Is BTI overvalued or undervalued?

British American Tobacco Indus trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BTI?

20 analysts cover BTI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $67.

What does British American Tobacco Indus do?British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the United States, Europe, Latin...

British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the United States, Europe, Latin America, Canada, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Central Asia, Caucasus, and Africa. The company offers vapour products; heated products, which consists of a battery-powered device and a plant-based substance consumable that is heated; modern oral products, such as nicotine pouches; combustibles, including cigarette sticks and other tobacco stick products; traditional oral products, such as snus and moist snuff; and fine cut/roll-your-own tobacco products. It sells its products under the Vuse, glo, Velo, Grizzly, Kodiak, Dunhill, Kent, Lucky Strike, Pall Mall, Rothmans, Newport, Natural American Spirit, and Camel Snus brands, as well as Vogue, Viceroy, Kool, Peter Stuyvesant, Craven A, and State Express 555 brands. The company distributes its products to retail outlets. British American Tobacco p.l.c. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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