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British American Tobacco Indus (BTI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the United States, Europe, Latin America, Canada, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Central Asia, Caucasus, and Africa. The company offers vapour products; heated products, which consists of... Read more

$58.74+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 6 Tobacco
Stop $56.27Target $58.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$66.04+12.4%5 analysts
$58.80our TP
$58.74price
$66.04mean
$72

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$124.3B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn30.3%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.12
Dividend5.81%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C4.36bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$35-40.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.83Resistance $60.00

Price Targets

$56
$59
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $56.27. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.80 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $56.27. Stop-loss: $56.27.

What are the risks of investing in BTI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is BTI overvalued or undervalued?

British American Tobacco Indus trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BTI?

20 analysts cover BTI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $66.

What does British American Tobacco Indus do?British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the United States, Europe, Latin...

British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the United States, Europe, Latin America, Canada, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Central Asia, Caucasus, and Africa. The company offers vapour products; heated products, which consists of a battery-powered device and a plant-based substance consumable that is heated; modern oral products, such as nicotine pouches; combustibles, including cigarette sticks and other tobacco stick products; traditional oral products, such as snus and moist snuff; and fine cut/roll-your-own tobacco products. It sells its products under the Vuse, glo, Velo, Grizzly, Kodiak, Dunhill, Kent, Lucky Strike, Pall Mall, Rothmans, Newport, Natural American Spirit, and Camel Snus brands, as well as Vogue, Viceroy, Kool, Peter Stuyvesant, Craven A, and State Express 555 brands. The company distributes its products to retail outlets. British American Tobacco p.l.c. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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