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MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.Hold5.9·$24.15-0.90%
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Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Pediatrix Medical Group operates a national network of approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians providing neonatal, maternal-fetal, and other pediatric subspecialty care at over 360 NICUs and 60 PICUs across 37 states. The company generates revenue through fee-for-service... Read more

$24.15+0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.18%
Stop $22.79Target $24.23(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$23.17-4.1%6 analysts
$24.23our TP
$24.15price
$23.17mean
$19
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)
Overbought (RSI 84)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$25+3.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas accounted for approximately 32% of our net revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved Second Amended and Restated 2008 Incentive Compensation Plan at May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing shares available for issuance by 8,000,000. Administrative compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.96Resistance $24.72

Price Targets

$23
$24
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $24.23 (+0.3%), stop $22.79 (−6.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.23 (+0.3% upside). Target $24.23 (+0.3%), stop $22.79 (−6.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $22.79.

What are the risks of investing in MD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Overbought (RSI 84).

Is MD overvalued or undervalued?

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MD?

15 analysts cover MD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. do?Pediatrix Medical Group operates a national network of approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians providing neonatal,...

Pediatrix Medical Group operates a national network of approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians providing neonatal, maternal-fetal, and other pediatric subspecialty care at over 360 NICUs and 60 PICUs across 37 states. The company generates revenue through fee-for-service billings to commercial and government payers; Texas accounted for approximately 32% of net revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: AVAH (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc) · THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · ARDT (Ardent Health, Inc.) · EHC (Encompass Health Corporation)
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