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Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Pediatrix Medical Group provides physician services in newborn, maternal-fetal, and pediatric subspecialty care through approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians across 37 states, primarily staffing hospital-based NICUs. Revenue is earned from hospital and third-party payor... Read more

$23.01+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.81%
Stop $21.40Target $23.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$23.17+0.7%6 analysts
$23.87our TP
$23.01price
$23.17mean
$19
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta0.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicTexas32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas accounted for approximately 32% of our net revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the Second Amended and Restated 2008 Incentive Compensation Plan at the 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing shares available by 8,000,000. Routine compensatory arrangement amendment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.65Resistance $24.36

Price Targets

$21
$24
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $23.87 (+3.7%), stop $21.40 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.87 (+3.7% upside). Target $23.87 (+3.7%), stop $21.40 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $21.40.

What are the risks of investing in MD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is MD overvalued or undervalued?

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MD?

15 analysts cover MD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. do?Pediatrix Medical Group provides physician services in newborn, maternal-fetal, and pediatric subspecialty care through...

Pediatrix Medical Group provides physician services in newborn, maternal-fetal, and pediatric subspecialty care through approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians across 37 states, primarily staffing hospital-based NICUs. Revenue is earned from hospital and third-party payor reimbursement; Texas accounted for approximately 32% of net revenue in 2025.

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