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MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.Hold5.9·$30.60
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pediatrix trades at a low forward multiple of 10.3x with a PEG of 0.21 and peer-leading margins, but deeply overbought conditions at an RSI of 90, a stock price already above the technical resistance target, and a recent officer-level change create a poor setup for new buyers despite the fundamental appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Compelling Fundamental Valuation→Stable
  • Earnings Momentum With Recent Stumble↓Deteriorating
  • Severely Overbought Above Resistance↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away).

Pediatrix Medical Group operates a national network of approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians providing neonatal, maternal-fetal, and other pediatric subspecialty care at over 360 NICUs and 60 PICUs across 37 states. The company generates revenue through fee-for-service... Read more

$30.60-17.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#14 of 35 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.91%
Stop $28.56Analyst target $25.38(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$29.17-4.7%6 analysts with price targets
$30.60price
$29.17mean
$28
$31

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.5% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas accounted for approximately 32% of our net revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved Second Amended and Restated 2008 Incentive Compensation Plan at May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing shares available for issuance by 8,000,000. Administrative compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.54Resistance $31.07

Price Targets

A.Upside-17.1%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $25.38 reached (−17.1%), stop $28.56 (−7.1%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MD stock price target?

Analyst target $25.38 reached (−17.1% from $30.60); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $25.38 reached (−17.1%), stop $28.56 (−7.1%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $28.56.

What are the risks of investing in MD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Is MD overvalued or undervalued?

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MD?

15 analysts rate MD, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $29.

What does Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. do?Pediatrix Medical Group operates a national network of approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians providing neonatal,...

Pediatrix Medical Group operates a national network of approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians providing neonatal, maternal-fetal, and other pediatric subspecialty care at over 360 NICUs and 60 PICUs across 37 states. The company generates revenue through fee-for-service billings to commercial and government payers; Texas accounted for approximately 32% of net revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: SRTA (Strata Critical Medical, Inc.) · AVAH (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc) · THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · STLN (Starling Oncology, Inc.) · ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.)
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