Macerich Company (The) (MAC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Real Estate · REIT - Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.68: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.07; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
Macerich is a self-administered REIT owning, developing, and managing 38 regional retail shopping centers with approximately 39 million square feet of GLA across the US. Revenue is generated from tenant base rents and cost recoveries, with portfolio concentrated in California,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.68: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.07; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertyshopping centers10-K Item 1A: 'We invest primarily in shopping centers, which are subject to a number of significant risks that are beyond our control.'
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, New York and Arizona10-K Item 1A: 'A significant percentage of our Centers are located in California, New York and Arizona.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -17.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -18.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.68: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.07; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $20.69. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $22.10 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $20.69. Stop-loss: $20.69.
Concentration risk — Property Type: shopping centers; Target reached (-10.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
Macerich Company (The) trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4364.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover MAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $22.
What does Macerich Company (The) do?Macerich is a self-administered REIT owning, developing, and managing 38 regional retail shopping centers with...
Macerich is a self-administered REIT owning, developing, and managing 38 regional retail shopping centers with approximately 39 million square feet of GLA across the US. Revenue is generated from tenant base rents and cost recoveries, with portfolio concentrated in California, New York, and Arizona.