Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. At $42.19, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: McDonald's Corporation (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (50.0%).
Lamb Weston is the #1 supplier of value-added frozen potato products in North America and a leading international supplier, with operations in 32 countries across two segments: North America and International. Revenue is generated from frozen potato products (primarily French... Read more
Sell if holding. At $42.19, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: McDonald's Corporation (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (50.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- Starboard Value Increases Stake In Tripadvisor Inc By 12% To 10,774,996 Shares; CarMax Inc With 6,201,362 Shares; Fluor — benzinga May 15, 2026
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Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerMcDonald's Corporation15%10-K Item 1: 'our largest customer, McDonald's Corporation, accounted for approximately 15%, 14%, and 13%, respectively, of our consolidated net sales'
- HIGHCustomertop ten customers50%10-K Item 1: 'our ten largest customers accounted for approximately 50% of our net sales'
- MEDIUMGeographicnet sales outside the U.S.35%10-K Item 1A: 'net sales outside the U.S., primarily in Australia, Canada, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Mexico, and Taiwan, accounted for approximately 35%, 34%, and 23% of our net sales, respectively'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUMCFO Bernadette M. Madarieta departing April 1, 2026. James D. Gray named as successor CFO effective April 2, 2026. Transition agreement includes advisory role through April 30, 2026 and severance provisions.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $42.19, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: McDonald's Corporation (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (50.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $39.37. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.95 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $39.37. Stop-loss: $39.37.
Concentration risk — Customer: McDonald's Corporation (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover LW with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $46.
What does Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. do?Lamb Weston is the #1 supplier of value-added frozen potato products in North America and a leading international...
Lamb Weston is the #1 supplier of value-added frozen potato products in North America and a leading international supplier, with operations in 32 countries across two segments: North America and International. Revenue is generated from frozen potato products (primarily French fries) sold to quick service restaurants, foodservice distributors, and retailers; McDonald's Corporation accounted for approximately 15% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025.