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LGNDLigand Pharmaceuticals IncorporBuy Wait6.1·$248.24+2.04%
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Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorpor (LGND) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $223.91. BUY gates pass at $248.24, but concentration risk — Supplier: Hovione and concentration risk — Product: Captisol material sales argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $223.91 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Ligand Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical royalty company that invests in and licenses technologies to generate diversified royalty streams from high-value medicines. Revenue comes from royalties on partner-commercialized products (led by Kyprolis, Qarziba, Filspari),... Read more

$248.24+12.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#23 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.91%
Entry $223.91(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $209.51Target $252.05(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$277.60+11.8%10 analysts
$252.05our TP
$248.24price
$277.60mean
$330

Wait for pullback to $223.91. BUY gates pass at $248.24, but concentration risk — Supplier: Hovione and concentration risk — Product: Captisol material sales argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $223.91 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.45, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.0/10). Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorpor

Generated 2026-06-15T12:26:44Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Hovione
Concentration risk — Product: Captisol material sales
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA33.8
Profit Mgn55.9%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierHovione
    10-K Item 1A: 'We obtain Captisol from Hovione, our third-party manufacturer, primarily at their facilities in Ireland and Portugal.'
  • HIGHProductCaptisol material sales
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues from sales of Captisol material to our collaboration partners, including Amgen, represent approximately half of our royalty revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Ligand terminated the TR-Beta Program under its Master License Agreement with Viking Therapeutics effective May 4, 2026, citing Viking's material breach of its obligation to use Commercially Reasonable Efforts to develop and commercialize the program.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVE8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
86 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $205.19Resistance $257.19

Price Targets

$210
$224
$252
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LGND stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $223.91. BUY gates pass at $248.24, but concentration risk — Supplier: Hovione and concentration risk — Product: Captisol material sales argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $223.91 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.45, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.0/10). Target $252.05 (+1.5%), stop $209.51 (−18.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LGND stock price target?

Take-profit target: $252.05 (+12.6% upside). Target $252.05 (+1.5%), stop $209.51 (−18.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $209.51.

What are the risks of investing in LGND?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Hovione; Concentration risk — Product: Captisol material sales; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LGND overvalued or undervalued?

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorpor trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LGND?

14 analysts cover LGND with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $278.

What does Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorpor do?Ligand Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical royalty company that invests in and licenses technologies to generate...

Ligand Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical royalty company that invests in and licenses technologies to generate diversified royalty streams from high-value medicines. Revenue comes from royalties on partner-commercialized products (led by Kyprolis, Qarziba, Filspari), Captisol material sales, and contract revenue; total royalty receipts were $176.9M in 2025. The Captisol platform underpins 17 FDA-approved products and is sole-sourced from Hovione.

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