Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $125.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%).
Leidos is a U.S. government-focused IT services, engineering, and technology company with ~47,000 employees, generating 87% of revenues from U.S. government contracts. It operates four segments: National Security & Digital (44% of revenues), Health & Civil (30%), Commercial &... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $125.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Leidos Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- Leidos Holdings to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- Leidos Holdings Stock (US5253271028): Market Cap Hits $19.04 Billion in April 2026 - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
- Vanguard Group Inc. Reduces Stock Position in Leidos Holdings, Inc. $LDOS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Leidos Holdings Inc. stock underperforms Tuesday when compared to competitors despite daily gains - MarketWatch — MarketWatch negative
- Leidos (NYSE:LDOS) Stock Price Down 7.1% - Here's Why - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government87%10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues from contracts with the U.S. government... generated approximately 87% of our total revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023'
- HIGHCustomerDoW and U.S. Intelligence Community49%10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues under contracts with the DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community... represented approximately 49% of our total revenues for fiscal 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOWLeidos stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan and 2026 Employee Stock Purchase Plan at the May 1, 2026 Annual Meeting. No officer departure or appointment involved.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $125.96 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $117.88. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $163.37 (+29.7% upside). Prior stop was $117.88. Stop-loss: $117.88.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).
Leidos Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover LDOS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $188.
What does Leidos Holdings, Inc. do?Leidos is a U.S. government-focused IT services, engineering, and technology company with ~47,000 employees, generating...
Leidos is a U.S. government-focused IT services, engineering, and technology company with ~47,000 employees, generating 87% of revenues from U.S. government contracts. It operates four segments: National Security & Digital (44% of revenues), Health & Civil (30%), Commercial & International (13%), and Defense Systems (13%).