Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) Stock Analysis
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $147.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%).
Leidos is an IT, engineering, and technology services company serving U.S. government agencies, generating 87% of revenues from federal contracts in fiscal 2025 with 47,000 employees across four segments: National Security & Digital (44% of revenue), Health & Civil, Commercial &... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $147.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government87%10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues from contracts with the U.S. government ... generated approximately 87% of our total revenue in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerDoW and U.S. Intelligence Community49%10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues under contracts with the DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community ... represented approximately 49% of our total revenues for fiscal 2025 and 2023'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Revenue shrinking — -3.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $147.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $140.03. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $173.32 (+17.5% upside). Prior stop was $140.03. Stop-loss: $140.03.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (87.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoW and U.S. Intelligence Community (49.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.
Leidos Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover LDOS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $199.
What does Leidos Holdings, Inc. do?Leidos is an IT, engineering, and technology services company serving U.S. government agencies, generating 87% of...
Leidos is an IT, engineering, and technology services company serving U.S. government agencies, generating 87% of revenues from federal contracts in fiscal 2025 with 47,000 employees across four segments: National Security & Digital (44% of revenue), Health & Civil, Commercial & International, and Defense Systems. The DoW and Intelligence Community account for approximately 49% of total revenues. Headquarters are in Reston, Virginia.