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LBTYBLiberty Global Ltd.Sell5.0·$11.23-14.92%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Liberty Global (this share class) combines a failed momentum threshold, an upside-exhausted price geometry with approximately 10.3% of downside and effectively zero upside to the near-term ceiling, and a business burning cash at approximately 14% of revenue—making it a setup where risk is overwhelmingly tilted against new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration High RiskStable
  • Momentum Gate Failure Confirmed WeaknessStable
  • Quality Below Floor Cash BurningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYB) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.23: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile services in Europe through Telenet (Belgium), Virgin Media Ireland, and 50% stakes in Virgin Media O2 (UK) and VodafoneZiggo (Netherlands), serving approximately 80 million fixed and mobile connections. Subscription revenue... Read more

$11.23+26.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#27 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-15.97%
Stop $10.44Target $14.21(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.23: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 14, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Liberty Global Ltd.

Generated 2026-07-07T10:21:37Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party programming providers
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn-109.7%
ROE-48.0%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierthird-party programming providers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we depend almost exclusively on our relationships with third-party programming providers and broadcasters for programming content'
  • MEDIUMSupplierThree (Hutchison) MVNO
    10-K Item 1A: 'our services to mobile customers in Ireland rely on the use of an MVNO arrangement with Three, whereby we utilize the radio access networks of a third-party wireless network provider'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved 2026 annual performance award goals for executive officers on March 26, 2026, with payout of 0%-150% of target based on revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and strategic goal metrics. No departure or new appointment disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
6.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -109.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Operating Margin
1.8
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
4.3
Moat
5.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
9.2
Cash-burning: FCF -14% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -5 (fail)
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.63Resistance $14.50

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+26.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LBTYB.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBTYB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.23: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 14, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $10.44. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBTYB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.21 (+26.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.44. Stop-loss: $10.44.

What are the risks of investing in LBTYB?

Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party programming providers; Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is LBTYB overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Global Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBTYB?

20 analysts cover LBTYB with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does Liberty Global Ltd. do?Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile services in Europe through Telenet (Belgium), Virgin Media...

Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile services in Europe through Telenet (Belgium), Virgin Media Ireland, and 50% stakes in Virgin Media O2 (UK) and VodafoneZiggo (Netherlands), serving approximately 80 million fixed and mobile connections. Subscription revenue from residential and business customers is the primary income source, supplemented by Liberty Growth's ~$3.4 billion portfolio of roughly 70 technology, media, and infrastructure investments.

Related stocks: KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.) · VEON (VEON Ltd.) · TEO (Telecom Argentina SA) · RCI (Rogers Communication, Inc.) · ATEX (Anterix Inc.)
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