nLIGHT, Inc. (LASR) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductors
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.93: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.
nLIGHT designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for aerospace/defense directed energy, microfabrication, and industrial applications. It operates two segments: Laser Products (commercial sales) and Advanced Development (government-funded R&D),... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.93: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About nLIGHT, Inc.
About nLIGHT, Inc.
nLIGHT manufactures high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers across Aerospace and Defense, Microfabrication, and Industrial markets from a vertically integrated model with facilities in Washington, Oregon, Colorado, and Finland. The company's top ten customers accounted for approximately 75% of revenues in 2025 — up from 66% in 2023 — including BAE Systems, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon Technologies, and the U.S. Government. Backlog stood at $161.6 million at December 31, 2025, with all orders expected to ship within 24 months, supported by over 800 full-time employees.
nLIGHT sells through dedicated sales, marketing, and engineering teams directly to Aerospace and Defense end customers — the U.S. Government, prime contractors, and defense subcontractors — and through direct sales plus independent representatives and distributors across Asia, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, and South America for Industrial and Microfabrication markets. Revenue comes from hardware sales of semiconductor lasers, fiber lasers, and fiber amplifiers, priced against competitors IPG Photonics, Coherent, BWT Ltd., Raycus Fiber Laser Technologies, and Trumpf GmbH. Input costs center on semiconductor wafer substrates, fiber laser chip packages, and optical components, most purchased from single- or limited-source suppliers with no guaranteed supply arrangements. A third-party contract manufacturer in Thailand packages certain semiconductor lasers for commercial applications. High fixed manufacturing overhead means gross margins are highly sensitive to volume; the company has incurred net losses since its 2000 founding.
Show full overview
Customer concentration presents a structural constraint: with approximately 75% of revenues from the top ten customers and no long-term purchase commitments in the Laser Products business, nLIGHT relies on short-term purchase orders that customers may cancel or defer. The U.S. Government components of this base are subject to termination-for-convenience clauses and dependent on annual defense appropriations; the company has unaudited and unsettled incurred cost claims from past years that place risk on final billings before appropriated funds expire. Defense contract awards are also subject to competitive bid protests and evaluation periods outside the company's control, creating binary timing risk for individual contract revenues.
See also: Technology · Semiconductors
From nLIGHT, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — nLIGHT, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS 5 Stock Picks Last Week From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts — benzinga May 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Stifel Maintains Buy on nLight, Raises Price Target to $85 — benzinga May 21, 2026 positive
- NEWS SanDisk And Micron Had Their Run – This New 'Photonics' ETF Has 15 Triple-Digit Gainers Inside — benzinga May 13, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Here's How Much $100 Invested In nLight 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Crude Oil Gains 1%; Fluor Shares Plunge After Q1 Results — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop ten customers75%10-K Item 1: 'our top ten customers accounted for approximately 75%, 72% and 66% of our revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
- HIGHSuppliersingle- or limited-source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'we purchase certain raw materials and components... from single- or limited-source suppliers for which alternative options are limited'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.93: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $64.81. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $75.19 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $64.81. Stop-loss: $64.81.
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (75.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single- or limited-source suppliers; Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).
nLIGHT, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 103.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover LASR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $86.
What does nLIGHT, Inc. do?nLIGHT designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for aerospace/defense directed...
nLIGHT designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for aerospace/defense directed energy, microfabrication, and industrial applications. It operates two segments: Laser Products (commercial sales) and Advanced Development (government-funded R&D), with $161.6M backlog as of Dec 31, 2025.