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nLIGHT, Inc. (LASR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.43: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

nLIGHT is a provider of high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for directed energy, optical sensing, and advanced manufacturing applications. Two segments: Laser Products (commercial and defense lasers sold to OEM customers) and Advanced Development (U.S. government-funded... Read more

$68.43+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#26 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $63.62Target $78.66(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$75.50+10.3%7 analysts
$78.66our TP
$68.43price
$75.50mean
$63
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.43: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)128.5
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA-354.7
Profit Mgn-9.0%
ROE-10.6%
Rev Growth71.3%
Beta2.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00bearish
IV133%elevated
Max Pain$45-34.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomersmall number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a small number of customers for a significant portion of our revenues, and we expect this customer concentration will continue in the future.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
2.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.2
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.7
Forward Pe
1.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
9.3
Forward P/E: 128.5xPEG: 0.62

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.50Resistance $80.27

Price Targets

$64
$79
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LASR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.43: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $63.62. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LASR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.66 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $63.62. Stop-loss: $63.62.

What are the risks of investing in LASR?

Target reached (-4.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is LASR overvalued or undervalued?

nLIGHT, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 128.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LASR?

15 analysts cover LASR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $76.

What does nLIGHT, Inc. do?nLIGHT is a provider of high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for directed energy, optical sensing, and advanced...

nLIGHT is a provider of high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for directed energy, optical sensing, and advanced manufacturing applications. Two segments: Laser Products (commercial and defense lasers sold to OEM customers) and Advanced Development (U.S. government-funded R&D for next-generation directed energy systems).

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