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LAMRLamar Advertising CompanySell5.0·$156.05-0.03%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Lamar operates a high-quality advertising franchise with strong 24% margins and a healthy financial-fitness score, but the stock already trades above its price target with a negative risk/reward ratio, the dividend yield has been flagged as potentially unsafe, and recent earnings execution has been uneven—collectively limiting the near-term case for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Quality FranchiseStable
  • Dividend Yield Sustainability RiskStable
  • Stock Above Target Negative GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $156.05 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away).

Lamar Advertising Company owned approximately 344,300 outdoor advertising displays in the United States and Canada at December 31, 2025, including 159,300 billboards, 144,400 logo sign structures, and 40,600 transit displays, generating $2,266.2 million in 2025 revenue. The... Read more

$156.05-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.41%
IncomeYield4.10%(5y avg 4.33%)Payout115.31%
Stop $149.43Target $154.01(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$155.60-0.3%5 analysts
$154.01our TP
$156.05price
$155.60mean
$145
$170

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $156.05 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.8
P/E (Fwd)24.4
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA20.0
Profit Mgn24.0%
ROE55.2%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta1.23
Dividend4.10%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV120%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMPropertydigital billboards33%
    10-K Item 1: 'These 5,500 digital billboards generated approximately 33% of billboard advertising net revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders at 2026 Annual Meeting approved amendment to 1996 Equity Incentive Plan increasing Class A shares by 2,000,000 to 19,500,000 total, and amendment to 2019 ESPP adding 500,000 shares. Effective June 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.8
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.6
P Ocf
6.2
P/OCF: 17.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $147.07Resistance $157.15

Price Targets

$149
$154
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $156.05 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $149.43. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the LAMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $154.01 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $149.43. Stop-loss: $149.43.

What are the risks of investing in LAMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5.

Is LAMR overvalued or undervalued?

Lamar Advertising Company trades at a P/E of 28.8 (forward 24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LAMR?

13 analysts cover LAMR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $156.

What does Lamar Advertising Company do?Lamar Advertising Company owned approximately 344,300 outdoor advertising displays in the United States and Canada at...

Lamar Advertising Company owned approximately 344,300 outdoor advertising displays in the United States and Canada at December 31, 2025, including 159,300 billboards, 144,400 logo sign structures, and 40,600 transit displays, generating $2,266.2 million in 2025 revenue. The company operates as a REIT, renting space to advertisers under short-term contracts with local advertisers making up approximately 79% of outdoor net revenues.

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