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Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in North America. It operates through Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines, Terminals, and CO2 segments. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas... Read more

$32.67+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#19 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $31.02Target $33.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$35.24+7.9%21 analysts
$33.12our TP
$32.67price
$35.24mean
$31
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$70.8B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn18.9%
ROE10.6%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta0.63
Dividend3.69%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycrude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices
    10-K Item 1A: 'The revenues, cash flows, profitability, and future growth of some of our businesses... depend to a large degree on prevailing crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    COO James E. Holland plans to retire effective September 4, 2026. Kenneth W. Grubb (VP and Chief Project Officer, 35+ years at KMI) appointed by Board to succeed Holland as COO effective the same date.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.73Resistance $33.80

Price Targets

$31
$33
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $33.12 (+1.4%), stop $31.02 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.12 (+1.3% upside). Target $33.12 (+1.4%), stop $31.02 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $31.02.

What are the risks of investing in KMI?

Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prices; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is KMI overvalued or undervalued?

Kinder Morgan, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KMI?

28 analysts cover KMI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Kinder Morgan, Inc. do?Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in North America. It operates through...

Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in North America. It operates through Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines, Terminals, and CO2 segments. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipeline, and storage systems; natural gas gathering systems and natural gas processing and treating facilities; natural gas liquids fractionation facilities and transportation systems; and liquefied natural gas gasification, liquefaction, and storage facilities. The Products Pipelines segment owns and operates refined petroleum products, and crude oil and condensate pipelines; and associated product terminals and petroleum pipeline transmix facilities. The Terminals segment owns and/or operates liquids and bulk terminals that stores and handles various commodities, including gasoline, diesel fuel, renewable fuel and feedstocks, chemicals, ethanol, metals, and petroleum coke; and owns tankers. The CO2 segment produces, transports, and markets CO2 to recovery and production crude oil from mature oil fields; owns interests in/or operates oil fields and gasoline processing plants; and operates a crude oil pipeline system in West Texas, as well as owns and operates RNG and LNG facilities. The company was formerly known as Kinder Morgan Holdco LLC and changed its name to Kinder Morgan, Inc. in February 2011. Kinder Morgan, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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