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KEXKirby CorporationSell6.1·$128.12
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and a maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 reflect a well-run business, but the stock is range-bound near its analyst price target with only 1.9% upside remaining and a risk/reward ratio of 0.41 that does not favor new entry at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Near Target Thin Risk Reward↑Improving
  • Maximum Financial Health Score↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kirby Corporation (KEX) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $128.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals via 1,105 inland tank barges and 28 coastal tank barges. KDS, its second segment, distributes and services... Read more

$128.12+18.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#13 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $120.77Analyst target $152.00(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst consensus$174.71+36.4%7 analysts with price targets
$152.00Analyst target
$128.12price
$174.71mean
$210

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $128.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Kirby Corporation

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE—
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductpetrochemical transportation48%
    10-K Item 1: 'The transportation of petrochemical products represented 48% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • MEDIUMProductblack oil transportation26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Black oil ... Such products represented 26% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • LOWProductrefined petroleum products transportation23%
    10-K Item 1: 'Refined petroleum products ... represented 23% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • LOWSupplierMTU, Allison, and Daimler12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales and service of MTU, Allison, and Daimler products accounted for approximately 12% of the Company's revenues during 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 2.02LOW
    Kirby Corporation released Q1 2026 earnings results on April 30, 2026. Press release included EBITDA reconciliation and non-GAAP measures excluding one-time items.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
9.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $124.50Resistance $147.98

Price Targets

$121
$152
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $128.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $120.77. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEX stock price target?

Analyst target: $152.00 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $120.77. Stop-loss: $120.77.

What are the risks of investing in KEX?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is KEX overvalued or undervalued?

Kirby Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEX?

12 analysts rate KEX, with a consensus score of 4.5/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $175.

What does Kirby Corporation do?Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined...

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals via 1,105 inland tank barges and 28 coastal tank barges. KDS, its second segment, distributes and services engines, transmissions, and power generation equipment while manufacturing oilfield and electrical equipment for industrial customers.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc)
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