Skip to main content

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $128.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Cardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HIV.

Gilead Sciences is a biopharmaceutical company with 25+ commercial products across HIV (Biktarvy, Descovy), viral hepatitis (Epclusa, Vemlidy), and oncology (Yescarta, Trodelvy), operating in 35+ countries. HIV products generate a substantial portion of revenue, distributed... Read more

$128.50+10.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Stop $123.81Target $142.52(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$158.36+23.2%28 analysts
$142.52our TP
$128.50price
$158.36mean
$180

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $128.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Cardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HIV. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: conservative.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Cardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson (90.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: HIV
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$159.9B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn28.9%
ROE40.7%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.40
Dividend2.55%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$160+24.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson90%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 90% of our gross product sales in the U.S. have been to three wholesalers—Cardinal Health, Inc., Cencora, Inc. and McKesson Corporation'
  • HIGHProductHIV
    10-K Item 1A: 'We receive a substantial portion of our revenue from sales of our products for the treatment and prevention of HIV infection'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.8
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 18)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Conservative
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $127.64Resistance $142.97

Price Targets

$124
$143
A.Upside+10.9%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GILD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $128.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Cardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HIV. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $142.52 (+10.9%), stop $123.81 (−3.8%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GILD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $142.52 (+10.6% upside). Target $142.52 (+10.9%), stop $123.81 (−3.8%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $123.81.

What are the risks of investing in GILD?

Concentration risk — Customer: Cardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HIV; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is GILD overvalued or undervalued?

Gilead Sciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GILD?

39 analysts cover GILD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $158.

What does Gilead Sciences, Inc. do?Gilead Sciences is a biopharmaceutical company with 25+ commercial products across HIV (Biktarvy, Descovy), viral...

Gilead Sciences is a biopharmaceutical company with 25+ commercial products across HIV (Biktarvy, Descovy), viral hepatitis (Epclusa, Vemlidy), and oncology (Yescarta, Trodelvy), operating in 35+ countries. HIV products generate a substantial portion of revenue, distributed primarily through three U.S. wholesalers (Cardinal Health, Cencora, McKesson).

Related stocks: LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · GSK (GSK plc) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC) · ABBV (AbbVie Inc.)