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JBIJanus International Group, Inc.Hold6.2·$5.29+0.57%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Janus International screens cheap on a forward-earnings basis with strong cash conversion and meaningful analyst-modeled upside, but a hard-blocked death cross and elevated bearish options positioning reflect multiple concerning technical factors that argue for reducing rather than adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Forward Pe ValuationImproving
  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Death Cross Hard BlockStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Janus International Group, Inc. (JBI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Janus International Group, Inc. ("we," "us," "Group," "Janus" or the "Company"), headquartered in Temple, Georgia with eleven domestic and three international manufacturing facilities is a leading global manufacturer, supplier, and provider of turn-key self-storage, commercial,... Read more

$5.29+26.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.44%
Stop $4.97Target $6.70(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$7.70+45.6%5 analysts
$6.70our TP
$5.29price
$7.70mean
$9

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 27%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$717M
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C22.00bearish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
5.0
Bollinger
5.8
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.95Resistance $5.63

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+26.6%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts9
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$8

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $6.70 (+26.7%), stop $4.97 (−6.4%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.70 (+26.6% upside). Target $6.70 (+26.7%), stop $4.97 (−6.4%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Stop-loss: $4.97.

What are the risks of investing in JBI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is JBI overvalued or undervalued?

Janus International Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about JBI?

9 analysts cover JBI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Janus International Group, Inc. do?Janus International Group, Inc. ("we," "us," "Group," "Janus" or the "Company"), headquartered in Temple, Georgia with...

Janus International Group, Inc. ("we," "us," "Group," "Janus" or the "Company"), headquartered in Temple, Georgia with eleven domestic and three international manufacturing facilities is a leading global manufacturer, supplier, and provider of turn-key self-storage, commercial, and industrial building solutions including: roll up and swing doors, hallway systems, single- and multi-story steel buildings, building components, relocatable storage "MASS" (Moveable Additional Storage Structures) u...

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