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ITUBItau Unibanco Banco Holding SAHold5.8·$7.28
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Itaú Unibanco trades at a forward P/E of 8x — among the cheapest in its peer group — with 33% net margins and superior return on equity versus peers; however, the stock has reached its near-term resistance target with only 1.4% headroom remaining, and the reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 0.3-to-1 is unfavorable at this entry. Revenue is declining slightly and the dividend yield carries a sustainability warning, making the investment case stronger on a meaningful pullback than at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Peer Leading Valuation↑Improving
  • Strong Net Margins→Stable
  • Dividend Sustainability Concern↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (ITUB) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Negative momentum.

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation. The company offers... Read more

$7.28+7.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#130 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.43%(5y avg 3.59%)Payout81.94%at-risk
Stop $6.77Analyst target $7.85(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$9.03+24.0%8 analysts with price targets
$7.85Analyst target
$7.28price
$9.03mean
$6
$11

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.9%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$80.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn32.6%
ROE21.5%
Rev Growth17.5%
Beta0.17
Dividend2.43%
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.2
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.94Resistance $10.18

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITUB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $7.85 (+7.9%), stop $6.77 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITUB stock price target?

Analyst target: $7.85 (+7.9% upside). Analyst target $7.85 (+7.9%), stop $6.77 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $6.77.

What are the risks of investing in ITUB?

Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Negative momentum.

Is ITUB overvalued or undervalued?

Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ITUB?

17 analysts rate ITUB, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $9.

What does Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA do?Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in...

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation. The company offers current accounts; funds management; payments and collections; loans; credit and debit cards; investment and commercial banking services; real estate lending and financing services; economic, financial and brokerage advisory; and leasing and foreign exchange services. The company also provides non-life insurance products covering loss, damage, or liability for objects or people, as well as life insurance products covering death and personal accidents. It serves retail customers, account and non-account holders, individuals and legal entities, high income clients, microenterprises, and small companies, as well as middle-market companies and high net worth institutional clients. The company was formerly known as Itaú Unibanco Banco Múltiplo S.A. and changed its name to Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. in April 2009. The company was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. is a subsidiary of IUPAR - Itaú Unibanco Participações S.A.

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