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iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.17: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 12.33; Below-average business quality.

iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a platform that provides a collection of internet video content, such as professionally produced content licensed from professional content providers and... Read more

$1.17+39.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#18 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $1.08Target $1.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$1.81+54.8%19 analysts
$1.63our TP
$1.17price
$1.81mean
$1
$3

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.17: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 12.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA2.8
Profit Mgn-0.8%
ROE-1.5%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C12.33bearish
IV194%elevated
Max Pain$1-57.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Gross Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
0.3
Current Ratio
1.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 6.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.9
Days To Cover
2.6
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
4.7
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 16%Elevated put/call: 12.33High IV: 194%Above max pain $0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.07Resistance $1.47

Price Targets

$1
$2
A.Upside+39.3%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-18 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.17: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 12.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $1.08. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.63 (+39.9% upside). Prior stop was $1.08. Stop-loss: $1.08.

What are the risks of investing in IQ?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is IQ overvalued or undervalued?

iQIYI, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IQ?

27 analysts cover IQ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $2.

What does iQIYI, Inc. do?iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a...

iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a platform that provides a collection of internet video content, such as professionally produced content licensed from professional content providers and self-produced content. It also engages in the production, aggregation, and distribution of online long-form videos, micro dramas, micro animations, micro variety shows, edited video clips, and video blogs; and provision of experience services, online mobile games, comics, and others. In addition, the company provides membership, online brand and performance-based advertising, and content distribution services. Further, it is involved in the talent agency and IP licensing activities. The company was formerly known as Qiyi.com, Inc. and changed its name to iQIYI, Inc. in November 2017. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. iQIYI, Inc. is a subsidiary of Baidu Holdings Limited.

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