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IQiQIYI, Inc.Sell4.0·$1.05+3.96%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue declining at 13% annually, a Piotroski F-Score of 0 out of 9, a confirmed death cross, and a put-to-call ratio of 3.81 all point to a business under meaningful structural pressure; the stock screens as statistically inexpensive at a forward P/E of 12.7 times, but cheapness driven by quality deterioration and falling revenue rarely represents an actionable opportunity without a visible fundamental catalyst to reverse the trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Near Zero Across All DimensionsStable
  • Revenue Contraction Structural ConcernStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Heavy Bearish PositioningStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.05: Quality below floor (0.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.73; Below-average business quality. (Note: Risk dimension 2.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a platform that provides a collection of internet video content, such as professionally produced content licensed from professional content providers and... Read more

$1.05+29.9% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#32 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield1299.55%
Stop $1.00Target $1.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$1.54+47.0%19 analysts
$1.39our TP
$1.05price
$1.54mean
$1
$3

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.05: Quality below floor (0.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.73; Below-average business quality. (Note: Risk dimension 2.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — iQIYI, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-07T12:21:43Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$975M
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-5.1%
Rev Growth-13.4%
Beta0.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C8.73bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$1-52.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -13.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -13%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Current Ratio
1.8
Moat
2.5
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.4

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.5
Volatility
1.0
Short Interest
2.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
4.8
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 15%Elevated put/call: 8.73High IV: 77%Above max pain $0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $0.95Resistance $1.09

Price Targets

$1
$1
A.Upside+32.4%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.05: Quality below floor (0.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.73; Below-average business quality. (Note: Risk dimension 2.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $1.00. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.39 (+29.9% upside). Prior stop was $1.00. Stop-loss: $1.00.

What are the risks of investing in IQ?

Quality below floor (0.5 < 4.0).

Is IQ overvalued or undervalued?

iQIYI, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IQ?

26 analysts cover IQ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $2.

What does iQIYI, Inc. do?iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a...

iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a platform that provides a collection of internet video content, such as professionally produced content licensed from professional content providers and self-produced content. It also engages in the production, aggregation, and distribution of online long-form videos, micro dramas, micro animations, micro variety shows, edited video clips, and video blogs; and provision of experience services, online mobile games, comics, and others. In addition, the company provides membership, online brand and performance-based advertising, and content distribution services. Further, it is involved in the talent agency and IP licensing activities. The company was formerly known as Qiyi.com, Inc. and changed its name to iQIYI, Inc. in November 2017. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. iQIYI, Inc. is a subsidiary of Baidu Holdings Limited.

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