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INVXInnovex International, Inc.Sell5.4·$28.53-3.12%
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Innovex International, Inc. (INVX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.53: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Innovex designs, manufactures, and rents mission-critical downhole products to global oil and gas E&P operators and oilfield service companies across NAM, International, and Offshore markets, with 52% of 2025 revenue from North America. Revenue was generated ~70% from product... Read more

$28.53+10.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 30 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.68%
Stop $26.53Target $31.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$32.60+14.3%5 analysts
$31.61our TP
$28.53price
$32.60mean
$26
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.53: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Innovex International, Inc.

About Innovex International, Inc.

Innovex International generated approximately $978 million in 2025 revenue, split roughly 52% from North American markets and 48% from International and Offshore regions, serving oil and gas operators across the full well lifecycle. The top ten customer accounts represented 26% of revenue, led by Saudi Aramco as the largest end-user in 2025. The company employs 2,160 people and held approximately 769 U.S. and international patents as of December 31, 2025.

Revenue breaks into product sales (~70%), rental tools (~17%), and services (~13%), with products spanning drilling enhancement, well completion, well construction, production solutions, fishing and intervention, subsea equipment, and surface wellheads. Customers range from IOCs such as Chevron, BP, Shell, and Petrobras to NOCs including Saudi Aramco and Kuwait Oil Company, and multinational oilfield service companies Schlumberger and Baker Hughes. The NAM market—core to Innovex with an estimated 15% market share on a $3.5 billion total addressable market—is concentrated in horizontal unconventional wells and tends to be more cyclically sensitive than the International and Offshore segment, where long-cycle investment horizons provide relative stability at roughly 10% market share on a $4.5 billion TAM. Manufacturing runs across facilities in Texas, Louisiana, Scotland, Singapore, Brazil, Canada, Vietnam, and Saudi Arabia, supplemented by third-party machining. Three acquisitions in 2025—SCF Machining (February, $17.7 million), Citadel Casing Solutions (May, $69.7 million), and the DWS completion—expanded both product lines and low-cost manufacturing capacity.

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Commodity price exposure runs directly through the revenue model: the 10-K notes that a majority of product revenue "is based upon product sales at market pricing," exposing Innovex to rapid price reductions during industry downturns, with similar declines observed in 2015, 2016, 2020, and 2025. Separately, tariffs on imported materials from China, Mexico, and Canada could raise input costs the company may not be able to fully offset. Rystad Energy forecasts NAM upstream investment to decline roughly 8% in 2026 relative to 2025, putting near-term pressure on the company's largest revenue segment.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Innovex International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM market (52.0%)
Target reached (-0.6% upside)
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.3
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth-0.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNAM market52%
    10-K Item 1: 'The NAM market made up approximately 52% of our 2025 revenue'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten accounts26%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, our top ten accounts constituted 26% of revenue'
  • MEDIUMSupplierfrac plugs and well intervention tools suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our product lines, including frac plugs and well intervention tools, depend on a limited number of third-party suppliers and vendors'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Volatility
0.6
Days To Cover
3.2
Put Call
5.7
Short Interest
5.8
High IV: 86%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 2 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
4.4
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.26Resistance $32.25

Price Targets

$27
$32
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INVX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.53: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.53. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INVX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.61 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $26.53. Stop-loss: $26.53.

What are the risks of investing in INVX?

Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM market (52.0%); Target reached (-0.6% upside); Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is INVX overvalued or undervalued?

Innovex International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.3 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INVX?

10 analysts cover INVX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Innovex International, Inc. do?Innovex designs, manufactures, and rents mission-critical downhole products to global oil and gas E&P operators and...

Innovex designs, manufactures, and rents mission-critical downhole products to global oil and gas E&P operators and oilfield service companies across NAM, International, and Offshore markets, with 52% of 2025 revenue from North America. Revenue was generated ~70% from product sales, ~17% from rentals, and ~13% from services.

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