Skip to main content

Intel Corporation (INTC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client... Read more

$106.36+22.4% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#43 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.53%
Stop $98.81Target $130.09(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$85.00-20.1%42 analysts
$130.09our TP
$106.36price
$85.00mean
$20
$130

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Intel Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 24, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Scott Gawel, Corporate VP and Chief Accounting Officer, resigned effective April 24, 2026 to pursue another career opportunity. CFO David Zinsner assumed the principal accounting officer role in addition to principal financial officer. No successor CAO named.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC
Target reached (-26.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)70.3
Mkt Cap$543.7B
EV/EBITDA40.2
Profit Mgn-5.9%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth7.2%
Beta2.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts54

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.26bearish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$30-71.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierTSMC
    10-K Item 1A: 'our products business would, over time, become dependent on third-party foundries, particularly TSMC ... There are few foundries capable of producing the leading-edge and near-leading-edge nodes needed for our products – currently only TSMC and Samsung'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Scott Gawel, Corporate VP and Chief Accounting Officer, resigned effective April 24, 2026 to pursue another career opportunity. CFO David Zinsner assumed the principal accounting officer role in addition to principal financial officer. No successor CAO named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    April Miller Boise, EVP and Chief Legal Officer, will separate from Intel effective June 1, 2026. Entitled to severance per Intel Executive Severance Plan in exchange for release of claims. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.4
Operating Margin
2.8
Gross Margin
3.4
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
7.9
Piotroski F
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -15% of revenueNo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.4
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.4
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 70.3xPEG: 0.19

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
2.3
Llm Sentiment
3.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.98Resistance $132.75

Price Targets

$99
$130
A.Upside+22.3%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.0%), High leverage (D/E 5.1), Material insider selling (94 sells, 0.36% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $98.81. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the INTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.09 (+22.4% upside). Prior stop was $98.81. Stop-loss: $98.81.

What are the risks of investing in INTC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Target reached (-26.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is INTC overvalued or undervalued?

Intel Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 70.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INTC?

54 analysts cover INTC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Intel Corporation do?Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and...

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services. It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners. It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Related stocks: TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur) · NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) · MU (Micron Technology, Inc.) · AVGO (Broadcom Inc.) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.)