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INTCIntel CorporationSell4.2·$113.35+14.30%
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Intel Corporation (INTC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client... Read more

$113.35+18.0% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#40 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.50%
Stop $102.55Target $130.09(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$89.32-21.2%41 analysts
$130.09our TP
$113.35price
$89.32mean
$20
$150

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Intel Corporation

Generated 2026-06-09T22:21:41Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC
Target reached (-25.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)71.6
Mkt Cap$554.2B
EV/EBITDA40.9
Profit Mgn-5.9%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth7.2%
Beta2.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts53

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$50-55.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierTSMC
    10-K Item 1A: 'our products business would, over time, become dependent on third-party foundries, particularly TSMC ... There are few foundries capable of producing the leading-edge and near-leading-edge nodes needed for our products – currently only TSMC and Samsung'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Scott Gawel, Corporate VP and Chief Accounting Officer, resigned effective April 24, 2026 to pursue another career opportunity. CFO David Zinsner assumed the principal accounting officer role in addition to principal financial officer. No successor CAO named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    April Miller Boise, EVP and Chief Legal Officer, will separate from Intel effective June 1, 2026. Entitled to severance per Intel Executive Severance Plan in exchange for release of claims. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.4
Operating Margin
2.8
Gross Margin
3.4
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
7.9
Piotroski F
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -15% of revenueNo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.3
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.2
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 71.6xPEG: 0.20
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $98.33Resistance $132.75

Price Targets

$103
$130
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $102.55. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.09 (+18.0% upside). Prior stop was $102.55. Stop-loss: $102.55.

What are the risks of investing in INTC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Target reached (-25.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is INTC overvalued or undervalued?

Intel Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 71.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INTC?

53 analysts cover INTC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Intel Corporation do?Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and...

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services. It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners. It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Related stocks: TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur) · NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) · AVGO (Broadcom Inc.) · MU (Micron Technology, Inc.) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.)
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