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IMCRImmunocore Holdings plcSell5.8·$28.58-0.17%
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Immunocore Holdings plc (IMCR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.58: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 11.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

Immunocore is a commercial-stage biotech with one approved product, KIMMTRAK (tebentafusp), a TCR bispecific approved for metastatic uveal melanoma in 39 countries and commercially launched in 30, generating $400 million in net product revenue in 2025. Revenue comes entirely... Read more

$28.58+96.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#39 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield4.02%
Stop $26.76Target $55.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 11.1:1
Analyst target$63.49+122.2%13 analysts
$55.24our TP
$28.58price
$63.49mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.58: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 11.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Immunocore Holdings plc

About Immunocore Holdings plc

KIMMTRAK (tebentafusp), Immunocore Holdings' sole approved product, generated $400 million in net product revenue in 2025 — a 29% increase from $310 million in 2024 — with U.S. sales of $257 million and European sales of $131 million. The company reported a net loss of $35.5 million in 2025 against an accumulated deficit of $831.3 million, and held $467.7 million in cash and $396.4 million in marketable securities at December 31, 2025.

Immunocore earns revenue exclusively from KIMMTRAK, an ImmTAX bispecific TCR therapy approved for HLA-A*02:01-positive adults with unresectable or metastatic uveal melanoma. The company does not own manufacturing facilities, contracting drug substance production to AGC Biologics A/S in Copenhagen and Simtra Biopharma Solutions in Halle/Westfalen, Germany, with final packaging in the Netherlands. Commercial distribution uses a hybrid model — an in-house U.S. sales force plus contracted resources in the U.S. and Europe — supplemented by Medison Pharma Ltd. as exclusive distributor for Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, and Central and Eastern Europe, and Er-Kim for Turkey, the Middle East, and North Africa. Three ongoing Phase 3 registrational trials define the near-term growth path: TEBE-AM in cutaneous melanoma (topline data expected as early as second half of 2026), ATOM in adjuvant uveal melanoma (enrollment expected to complete 2028), and PRISM-MEL-301 evaluating brenetafusp in first-line advanced cutaneous melanoma. Third-party reimbursement coverage decisions by government health programs and commercial insurers govern sales across all markets.

Show full overview

Revenue growth beyond the narrow mUM indication depends on Phase 3 readouts over 2026–2028. A failure in TEBE-AM would remove the largest near-term expansion opportunity for KIMMTRAK; the mUM patient population is small and subject to HLA-A*02:01 restriction, which the 10-K identifies as a ceiling on addressable patients. Reimbursement risk is present across markets: in the U.S., the company was granted an increased applicable percentage under the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act wastage-rebate rule, but if CMS changes its position on the exemption, U.S. revenue could be impacted.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Immunocore Holdings plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: KIMMTRAK
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-42.6
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-92.1
Profit Mgn-6.7%
ROE-7.1%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta0.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductKIMMTRAK
    10-K Item 1A: 'our ability to grow our long-term revenues, and a significant portion of the value of our company, relates to our ability to successfully commercialize KIMMTRAK in the United States and Europe'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1: 'United States| $| 256,998 ... Revenue from sale of therapies, net| $| 400,016'
  • MEDIUMSupplierAGC Biologics / Simtra Biopharma
    10-K Item 1: 'we currently contract with the following well-established third-party manufacturers: •AGC Biologics A/S...and •Simtra Biopharma Solutions'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Short Interest
1.6
Volatility
1.7
Implied Vol
2.5
Debt Equity
4.8
Beta
8.5
High short interest justified: 19%Elevated put/call: 2.00High IV: 65%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
2.5
Operating Margin
2.7
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
8.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 11.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.59Resistance $30.21

Price Targets

$27
$55
A.Upside+93.3%
A.R:R11.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMCR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.58: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 11.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $26.76. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMCR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.24 (+96.1% upside). Prior stop was $26.76. Stop-loss: $26.76.

What are the risks of investing in IMCR?

Concentration risk — Product: KIMMTRAK; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is IMCR overvalued or undervalued?

Immunocore Holdings plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -42.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMCR?

23 analysts cover IMCR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Immunocore Holdings plc do?Immunocore is a commercial-stage biotech with one approved product, KIMMTRAK (tebentafusp), a TCR bispecific approved...

Immunocore is a commercial-stage biotech with one approved product, KIMMTRAK (tebentafusp), a TCR bispecific approved for metastatic uveal melanoma in 39 countries and commercially launched in 30, generating $400 million in net product revenue in 2025. Revenue comes entirely from KIMMTRAK sales, with 64% from the U.S. and 33% from Europe; manufacturing is fully outsourced to CMOs in Denmark and Germany.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · KRYS (Krystal Biotech, Inc.) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat)
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