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IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.Sell5.2·$32.68+1.08%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Insteel Industries shows a confirmed technical downtrend, a quality score below the engine's floor on weak earnings quality, and an unfavorable risk/reward setup ahead of its July 16, 2026 earnings report.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Quality Red FlagImproving
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendImproving
  • Elevated Options Risk Near EarningsImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.68: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a... Read more

$32.68+1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 11 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.79%
IncomeYield0.38%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout6.42%sustainable
Stop $30.50Target $33.15(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$39.00+19.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.68: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 15, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$626M
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
6.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.3
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Net Margin
2.6
Roe
3.3
Roa
4.1
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.4
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -48% FCF/NI
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.54Resistance $32.75

Price Targets

$31
$33
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-15 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IIIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.68: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $30.50. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IIIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.15 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $30.50. Stop-loss: $30.50.

What are the risks of investing in IIIN?

Target reached (1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is IIIN overvalued or undervalued?

Insteel Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IIIN?

6 analysts cover IIIN with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Insteel Industries, Inc. do?Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for...

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a seven-wire strand that is used to impart compression forces into precast concrete elements and structures providing reinforcement for bridges, parking decks, buildings, and other concrete structures. The company's WWR engineered reinforcing product is used in nonresidential and residential construction. It produces a range of WWR products, such as engineered structural mesh, an engineered made-to-order product that is used as the primary reinforcement for concrete elements or structures serving as a reinforcing solution for hot-rolled rebar; concrete pipe reinforcement, an engineered made-to-order product, which is used as the primary reinforcement in concrete pipe, box culverts, and precast manholes for drainage and sewage systems, water treatment facilities, and other related applications; and standard welded wire reinforcement, a secondary reinforcing product for crack control applications in residential and light nonresidential construction, including driveways, sidewalks, and various slab-on-grade applications. It sells its products through sales representatives to the manufacturers of concrete products, rebar fabricators, distributors, and contractors. Insteel Industries Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Mount Airy, North Carolina.

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