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IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.Sell4.9·$28.84
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Insteel Industries is a small-cap steel wire products maker with attractive valuation (forward P/E 12.2x) and a Piotroski 7/9, but a confirmed downtrend with a death cross and two recent earnings misses keep the setup unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Analyst Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Solid Financial Health Weak Cash↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Oct 29, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. At $28.84, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a... Read more

$28.84+9.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#10 of 10 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.42%
IncomeYield0.42%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout7.95%sustainable
Stop $26.82Analyst target $31.45(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst consensus$37.00+28.3%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. At $28.84, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 22, 2026

Recent Developments — Insteel Industries, Inc.

Latest item Oct 22, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T12:04:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 14, 202771d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.1
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$558M
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth17.9%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.42%
Analysts with ratings6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV67%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-21Item 2.05MEDIUM
    . Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities** The information set forth under Item 8.01 below is hereby incorporated into this Item 2.05 by reference. **Item 8.01. Other Events** On August 21, 2026, Insteel Industries Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Obv
1.6
Volume
1.7
Macd
2.6
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.0
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)8K SERIOUS 2.05Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.33Resistance $31.11

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-14 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IIIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $28.84, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $26.82. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the IIIN stock price target?

Analyst target: $31.45 (+9.0% upside). Prior stop was $26.82. Stop-loss: $26.82.

What are the risks of investing in IIIN?

Thin upside margin: 9.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is IIIN overvalued or undervalued?

Insteel Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IIIN?

6 analysts rate IIIN, with a consensus score of 2.2/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $37.

What does Insteel Industries, Inc. do?Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for...

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a seven-wire strand that is used to impart compression forces into precast concrete elements and structures providing reinforcement for bridges, parking decks, buildings, and other concrete structures. The company's WWR engineered reinforcing product is used in nonresidential and residential construction. It produces a range of WWR products, such as engineered structural mesh, an engineered made-to-order product that is used as the primary reinforcement for concrete elements or structures serving as a reinforcing solution for hot-rolled rebar; concrete pipe reinforcement, an engineered made-to-order product, which is used as the primary reinforcement in concrete pipe, box culverts, and precast manholes for drainage and sewage systems, water treatment facilities, and other related applications; and standard welded wire reinforcement, a secondary reinforcing product for crack control applications in residential and light nonresidential construction, including driveways, sidewalks, and various slab-on-grade applications. It sells its products through sales representatives to the manufacturers of concrete products, rebar fabricators, distributors, and contractors. Insteel Industries Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Mount Airy, North Carolina.

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