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IGICInternational General InsuranceSell5.9·$24.43
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock screens as attractively valued at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.9x with a stated 40% margin of safety, yet consecutive earnings misses in three of the last four quarters, declining revenue, an elevated put/call ratio of 1.67, and an analyst target that has already been reached leave the investment case fragile — cheap valuation alone is insufficient when the earnings trajectory is deteriorating and the options market is positioned defensively.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Safety Margin→Stable
  • Recurring Earnings Misses→Stable
  • Revenue Decline Limits Recovery↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

International General Insurance (IGIC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 7.9%.

International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. engages in the provision of specialty insurance and reinsurance solutions in the United Kingdom, Europe, Central and South America, the Middle East and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Specialty Long-tail,... Read more

$24.43+7.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 1.49%)Payout8.96%sustainable
Stop $23.60Target $26.35(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$31.00+26.9%2 analysts
$26.35our TP
$24.43price
$31.00mean
$32

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 35%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.9%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn20.7%
ROE16.3%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta0.13
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.6
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
15 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.33Resistance $27.05

Price Targets

$24
$26
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IGIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.60. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IGIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.35 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $23.60. Stop-loss: $23.60.

What are the risks of investing in IGIC?

Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is IGIC overvalued or undervalued?

International General Insurance trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IGIC?

9 analysts cover IGIC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $31.

What does International General Insurance do?International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. engages in the provision of specialty insurance and reinsurance solutions...

International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. engages in the provision of specialty insurance and reinsurance solutions in the United Kingdom, Europe, Central and South America, the Middle East and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Specialty Long-tail, Specialty Short-tail, and Reinsurance. It is involved in underwriting a portfolio of specialty risks, including energy, property, construction and engineering, ports and terminals, general aviation, political violence, professional lines, financial institutions, marine, and treaty reinsurance. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Amman, Jordan.

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