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Exzeo Group, Inc. (XZO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Weak growth.

Exzeo Group, Inc. provides turnkey insurance technology and operations solutions to insurance carriers and agents. The company offers an Insurance-as-a-Service (IaaS) platform that provides solutions for operational and administrative activities, such as quoting and... Read more

$13.69+61.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $12.73Target $22.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$26.00+89.9%2 analysts
$22.10our TP
$13.69price
$26.00mean
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Exzeo Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn37.6%
ROE58.7%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $13.10Resistance $17.67

Price Targets

$13
$22
A.Upside+61.4%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XZO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $22.10 (+61.4%), stop $12.73 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XZO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.10 (+61.4% upside). Target $22.10 (+61.4%), stop $12.73 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Stop-loss: $12.73.

What are the risks of investing in XZO?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is XZO overvalued or undervalued?

Exzeo Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about XZO?

7 analysts cover XZO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Exzeo Group, Inc. do?Exzeo Group, Inc. provides turnkey insurance technology and operations solutions to insurance carriers and agents. The...

Exzeo Group, Inc. provides turnkey insurance technology and operations solutions to insurance carriers and agents. The company offers an Insurance-as-a-Service (IaaS) platform that provides solutions for operational and administrative activities, such as quoting and underwriting, policy management, claims processing management, data reporting, and financial reporting. It serves property and casualty insurance industry. The company was formerly known as TypTap Insurance Group, Inc. Exzeo Group, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tampa, Florida. Exzeo Group, Inc. is a subsidiary of HCI Group, Inc.

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