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IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. (IDYA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.94: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.82; Below-average business quality.

IDEAYA Biosciences is a precision medicine oncology company with nine clinical-stage product candidates across four focus areas including darovasertib for uveal melanoma (Phase 2/3 registration-enabling trial), plus ADC/DDR combinations, MTAP pathway, and next-generation... Read more

$28.94+64.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#32 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $27.13Target $47.53(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$52.81+82.5%16 analysts
$47.53our TP
$28.94price
$52.81mean
$81

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.94: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.82; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.4
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-11.8
Profit Mgn-52.0%
ROE-10.9%
Rev Growth55.4%
Beta0.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C4.82bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$18-39.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -24% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.97Resistance $38.10

Price Targets

$27
$48
A.Upside+64.2%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDYA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.94: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.82; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $27.13. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.53 (+64.2% upside). Prior stop was $27.13. Stop-loss: $27.13.

What are the risks of investing in IDYA?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is IDYA overvalued or undervalued?

IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IDYA?

25 analysts cover IDYA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $53.

What does IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. do?IDEAYA Biosciences is a precision medicine oncology company with nine clinical-stage product candidates across four...

IDEAYA Biosciences is a precision medicine oncology company with nine clinical-stage product candidates across four focus areas including darovasertib for uveal melanoma (Phase 2/3 registration-enabling trial), plus ADC/DDR combinations, MTAP pathway, and next-generation therapies. The company has no approved products or revenue and reported a net loss in 2025.

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